Paper · 1989 · UA Campus Repository (The University of Arizona)

The timing of late Quaternary monsoon precipitation maxima in the southwest United States.

David S. Shafer

19
claims
19
verbatim quotes
38
citations
1
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

The southwest monsoon is responsible for a summer precipitation maximum for much of the southwest U.S. Biostratigraphies of pollen, plant macrofossils, and aquatic fossils in lakes from near modern monsoon boundaries in conjunction with climate modelling suggests variations in strength of the monsoon system during the late Quaternary. At Montezuma Well, Arizona, high percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollen as well as maximum influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollen suggest a shift from dominantly winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP. Maximum aridity occurred 7000-4000 yr BP, coincident with lowest lake levels. In the High Plateaus region of the Colorado Plateau, high Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratios suggests precipitation maxima until ca. 6000 yr BP at Fryingpan Lake and 5000 yr BP at Posy Lake. Pollen records suggest that Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambelii, were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene. Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations and upslope movement of ecotones for Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambelii after ca. 6000 yr BP and low lake levels ca. 5000-3700 yr BP, suggest a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation. In the San Luis Valley, Colorado, pollen records from Head Lake on the basin floor suggest an expansion of oaks and junipers at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary that may indicate increased summer precipitation. Lake levels of Head Lake fell sharply after ca. 9500 yr BP. Pollen records from Como Lake in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains suggest that Pinus ponderosa was established in the area by ca. 12,000 yr BP and Pinus edulis by ca. 9500 yr BP. Highland regions such as the High Plateaus (until ca. 6000-5000 yr BP) and central Colorado (until ca. 4000 yr BP) may have experienced Holocene summer precipitation maxima later into the Holocene than sites in lower elevation regions. Regional orographic uplift as a catalyst for convective summer precipitation may be responsible for the duration of summer precipitation maxima in these regions. On a longitudinal gradient, sites to the west such as in the southern Great Basin and Mohave Desert may have recorded enhanced summer precipitation earlier, reflecting different histories of the low-level jets in the southwest. The paleoecologic record generally confirm predictions of general circulation models (GCMs) that southwest monsoon circulation was enhanced from 12,000-6000 yr BP in response to peaks in annual (11,500-11,000 yr BP) and summer insolation (10,000-9000 yr BP) during the late Quaternary.

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Claims 19

Associationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

High percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollen at Montezuma Well suggest a shift from winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP.

Taxon
Pinus and JuniperusPinusJuniperuse0
Outcome
percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollene0
Direction
highe0
Qualifier
a shift from dominantly winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BPe0
Setting
Montezuma Well, Arizonae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus
Pinus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Forest Service Northern Region from Missoula, MT, USA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Juniperus
Juniperus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Júlio Reis ( Tintazul ) · CC BY-SA 2.5 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“At Montezuma Well, Arizona, high percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollen as well as maximum influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollen suggest a shift from dominantly winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP. Maximum aridity occurred 7000-4000 yr BP, coincident with lowest lake levels.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 337–647 · show in text ↑
Associationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Maximum influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollen at Montezuma Well suggest a shift to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP.

Taxon
Quercus and GramineaeQuercusPoaceaee0
Outcome
influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollene0
Direction
maximume0
Qualifier
between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BPe0
Setting
Montezuma Well, Arizonae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Quercus
Quercus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)WikiVagant · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“At Montezuma Well, Arizona, high percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollen as well as maximum influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollen suggest a shift from dominantly winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP. Maximum aridity occurred 7000-4000 yr BP, coincident with lowest lake levels.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 337–647 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Maximum aridity occurred between 7000 and 4000 yr BP, coincident with the lowest lake levels.

Outcome
lake levelse0
Direction
loweste0
Qualifier
Maximum aridity occurred 7000-4000 yr BPe0

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e0

“At Montezuma Well, Arizona, high percentages of Pinus and Juniperus pollen as well as maximum influxes of Quercus and Gramineae pollen suggest a shift from dominantly winter to summer precipitation between ca. 12,000 and 9000 yr BP. Maximum aridity occurred 7000-4000 yr BP, coincident with lowest lake levels.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 337–647 · show in text ↑
Associationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

High Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratios at Fryingpan Lake suggest precipitation maxima until ca. 6000 yr BP.

Taxon
ArtemisiaArtemisiae1
Outcome
Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratiose1
Direction
highe1
Qualifier
precipitation maxima until ca. 6000 yr BP at Fryingpan Lakee1
Setting
High Plateaus region of the Colorado Plateaue1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Artemisia
Artemisia · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)AnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“In the High Plateaus region of the Colorado Plateau, high Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratios suggests precipitation maxima until ca. 6000 yr BP at Fryingpan Lake and 5000 yr BP at Posy Lake.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 648–856 · show in text ↑
Associationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

High Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratios at Posy Lake suggest precipitation maxima until ca. 5000 yr BP.

Taxon
ArtemisiaArtemisiae1
Outcome
Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratiose1
Direction
highe1
Qualifier
5000 yr BP at Posy Lakee1
Setting
High Plateaus region of the Colorado Plateaue1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Artemisia
Artemisia · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)AnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“In the High Plateaus region of the Colorado Plateau, high Artemisia to Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthus pollen ratios suggests precipitation maxima until ca. 6000 yr BP at Fryingpan Lake and 5000 yr BP at Posy Lake.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 648–856 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa and Quercus gambelii were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene.

Taxon
Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambeliiPinus edulisPinus ponderosaQuercus gambeliie2
Outcome
presente2
Qualifier
throughout the Holocenee2
Setting
western Colorado Plateaue2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus edulis
Pinus edulis · Taxonjotor at Flickr · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Pinus ponderosa
Pinus ponderosa · TaxonWalter Siegmund (talk) · CC BY 2.5 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Quercus gambelii
Quercus gambelii · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryJames St. John · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“Pollen records suggest that Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambelii, were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene. Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations and upslope movement of ecotones for Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambelii after ca. 6000 yr BP and low lake levels ca. 5000-3700 yr BP, suggest a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 857–1279 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Ecotones of Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa and Q. gambelii moved upslope after ca. 6000 yr BP.

Taxon
Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambeliiPinus edulisPinus ponderosaQuercus gambeliie2
Outcome
upslope movement of ecotonese2
Direction
upslope movemente2
Qualifier
after ca. 6000 yr BPe2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus edulis
Pinus edulis · Taxonjotor at Flickr · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Pinus ponderosa
Pinus ponderosa · TaxonWalter Siegmund (talk) · CC BY 2.5 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Quercus gambelii
Quercus gambelii · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryJames St. John · CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“Pollen records suggest that Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambelii, were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene. Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations and upslope movement of ecotones for Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambelii after ca. 6000 yr BP and low lake levels ca. 5000-3700 yr BP, suggest a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 857–1279 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations suggests a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation.

Taxon
shadscale steppe vegetatione2
Outcome
Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetatione2
Direction
Expansione2
Qualifier
at low elevationse2

Verbatim

e2

“Pollen records suggest that Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambelii, were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene. Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations and upslope movement of ecotones for Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambelii after ca. 6000 yr BP and low lake levels ca. 5000-3700 yr BP, suggest a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 857–1279 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Low lake levels between ca. 5000 and 3700 yr BP suggest a period of maximum aridity.

Outcome
lake levelse2
Direction
lowe2
Qualifier
ca. 5000-3700 yr BPe2

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e2

“Pollen records suggest that Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Quercus gambelii, were present on the western Colorado Plateau throughout the Holocene. Expansion of shadscale steppe vegetation at low elevations and upslope movement of ecotones for Pinus edulis, P. ponderosa, and Q. gambelii after ca. 6000 yr BP and low lake levels ca. 5000-3700 yr BP, suggest a period of maximum aridity from decreased summer precipitation.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 857–1279 · show in text ↑
Associationhypothesisoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Pollen records from Head Lake suggest an expansion of oaks and junipers at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary that may indicate increased summer precipitation.

Taxon
oaks and junipersQuercusJuniperuse3
Outcome
expansion of oaks and juniperse3
Direction
expansione3
Qualifier
at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundarye3
Setting
San Luis Valley, Coloradoe3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Quercus
Quercus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)WikiVagant · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Juniperus
Juniperus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Júlio Reis ( Tintazul ) · CC BY-SA 2.5 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e3

“In the San Luis Valley, Colorado, pollen records from Head Lake on the basin floor suggest an expansion of oaks and junipers at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary that may indicate increased summer precipitation. Lake levels of Head Lake fell sharply after ca. 9500 yr BP.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1280–1551 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Lake levels of Head Lake fell sharply after ca. 9500 yr BP.

Outcome
Lake levels of Head Lakee3
Direction
fell sharplye3
Qualifier
after ca. 9500 yr BPe3

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e3

“In the San Luis Valley, Colorado, pollen records from Head Lake on the basin floor suggest an expansion of oaks and junipers at the Pleistocene/Holocene boundary that may indicate increased summer precipitation. Lake levels of Head Lake fell sharply after ca. 9500 yr BP.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1280–1551 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Pinus ponderosa was established in the Como Lake area by ca. 12,000 yr BP.

Taxon
Pinus ponderosaPinus ponderosae4
Outcome
established in the areae4
Qualifier
by ca. 12,000 yr BPe4
Setting
Como Lake in the Sangre de Cristo Mountainse4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus ponderosa
Pinus ponderosa · TaxonWalter Siegmund (talk) · CC BY 2.5 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e4

“Pollen records from Como Lake in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains suggest that Pinus ponderosa was established in the area by ca. 12,000 yr BP and Pinus edulis by ca. 9500 yr BP.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1552–1728 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Pinus edulis was established in the Como Lake area by ca. 9500 yr BP.

Taxon
Pinus edulisPinus edulise4
Outcome
established in the areae4
Qualifier
by ca. 9500 yr BPe4
Setting
Como Lake in the Sangre de Cristo Mountainse4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus edulis
Pinus edulis · Taxonjotor at Flickr · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e4

“Pollen records from Como Lake in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains suggest that Pinus ponderosa was established in the area by ca. 12,000 yr BP and Pinus edulis by ca. 9500 yr BP.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1552–1728 · show in text ↑
Observationhypothesisoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Summer precipitation maxima may have lasted later into the Holocene on the High Plateaus, until ca. 6000-5000 yr BP.

Outcome
summer precipitation maximae5
Direction
latere5
Qualifier
until ca. 6000-5000 yr BPe5
Setting
High Plateause5

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e5

“Highland regions such as the High Plateaus (until ca. 6000-5000 yr BP) and central Colorado (until ca. 4000 yr BP) may have experienced Holocene summer precipitation maxima later into the Holocene than sites in lower elevation regions.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1729–1964 · show in text ↑
Observationhypothesisoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Summer precipitation maxima may have lasted later into the Holocene in central Colorado, until ca. 4000 yr BP.

Outcome
summer precipitation maximae5
Direction
latere5
Qualifier
until ca. 4000 yr BPe5
Setting
central Coloradoe5

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e5

“Highland regions such as the High Plateaus (until ca. 6000-5000 yr BP) and central Colorado (until ca. 4000 yr BP) may have experienced Holocene summer precipitation maxima later into the Holocene than sites in lower elevation regions.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1729–1964 · show in text ↑
Mechanismhypothesisoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Regional orographic uplift may be responsible for the duration of summer precipitation maxima in the highland regions.

Outcome
duration of summer precipitation maximae6
Qualifier
Regional orographic uplift as a catalyst for convective summer precipitatione6

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e6

“Regional orographic uplift as a catalyst for convective summer precipitation may be responsible for the duration of summer precipitation maxima in these regions. On a longitudinal gradient, sites to the west such as in the southern Great Basin and Mohave Desert may have recorded enhanced summer precipitation earlier”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1965–2282 · show in text ↑
Observationhypothesisoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Sites in the southern Great Basin and Mohave Desert may have recorded enhanced summer precipitation earlier than highland sites.

Outcome
enhanced summer precipitatione6
Direction
earliere6
Setting
southern Great Basin and Mohave Deserte6

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e6

“Regional orographic uplift as a catalyst for convective summer precipitation may be responsible for the duration of summer precipitation maxima in these regions. On a longitudinal gradient, sites to the west such as in the southern Great Basin and Mohave Desert may have recorded enhanced summer precipitation earlier”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1965–2282 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The paleoecologic record generally confirms model predictions that southwest monsoon circulation was enhanced from 12,000 to 6000 yr BP.

Outcome
southwest monsoon circulation was enhancede7
Direction
enhancede7
Qualifier
from 12,000-6000 yr BPe7

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e7

“The paleoecologic record generally confirm predictions of general circulation models (GCMs) that southwest monsoon circulation was enhanced from 12,000-6000 yr BP in response to peaks in annual (11,500-11,000 yr BP) and summer insolation (10,000-9000 yr BP) during the late Quaternary.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2355–2640 · show in text ↑
Mechanismauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Southwest monsoon circulation was enhanced from 12,000 to 6000 yr BP in response to insolation peaks.

Outcome
southwest monsoon circulation was enhancede7
Qualifier
in response to peaks in annual (11,500-11,000 yr BP) and summer insolation (10,000-9000 yr BP)e7

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e7

“The paleoecologic record generally confirm predictions of general circulation models (GCMs) that southwest monsoon circulation was enhanced from 12,000-6000 yr BP in response to peaks in annual (11,500-11,000 yr BP) and summer insolation (10,000-9000 yr BP) during the late Quaternary.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2355–2640 · show in text ↑