Paper · 1998 · Acta Horticulturae

A MODEL FOR PREDICTION OF YIELD AND QUALITY OF CUCUMBER FRUITS

L.F.M. Marcelis; H. Gijzen

5
claims
5
verbatim quotes
8
citations
2
research areas
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Not open access

Abstract

The mechanistic model KOSI was developed to predict the weekly fresh weight harvest of cucumber fruits and their quality. The model consists of modules for greenhouse climate, greenhouse light transmission, light interception by the crop, leaf and canopy photosynthesis, assimilate partitioning, dry matter production, fruit growth, fruit dry matter content and fruit harvest. The minimum data needed by KOSI for harvest prediction are date of planting of the crop and date scheduled for the last harvest. When only this minimum data set is used, calculations are based on long-term average data on weekly global radiation and temperature outside the greenhouse. Instead of using long-term average weather data, predicted or measured weather data can be provided as input. Model predictions can be improved by providing more input parameters, such as temperature set-point and CO2 concentration of the greenhouse air, plant density, fruit pruning, frequency of fruit harvesting and transmissivity of the greenhouse. Model output are weekly harvest of the total fruit fresh weight, fruit number, the fresh weight and age of individual fruits and the percentage of second class fruits. The model was validated by comparing simulation results with production data of 10 commercial growers in 1996 and 14 growers in 1997 (January - May). Even when only the date of planting of the crop and date scheduled for the last harvest were used as input to the model, the weekly harvest of total fresh weight averaged over all growers was simulated well by the model. The average error of the weekly prediction of the fresh weight yield was 14.9°while the error of the annual yield was 2.8␒n 1996. The predicted average fruit size and percentage of second class fruits corresponded reasonably well with growers' data, showing average weekly errors of 6.5 nd 5.3°respectively.

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Claims 5

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

KOSI simulated weekly total fresh-weight harvest well using only planting and final-harvest dates.

Outcome
weekly harvest of total fresh weighte0
Qualifier
only the date of planting of the crop and date scheduled for the last harveste0
Comparator
all growerse0

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e0

“Even when only the date of planting of the crop and date scheduled for the last harvest were used as input to the model, the weekly harvest of total fresh weight averaged over all growers was simulated well by the model”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1334–1553 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The average weekly fresh-weight yield prediction error was 14.9°.

Outcome
average error of the weekly prediction of the fresh weight yielde0
Value
14.9°e0

Verbatim

e0

“The average error of the weekly prediction of the fresh weight yield was 14.9°”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1555–1633 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The annual yield prediction error was 2.8 in 1996, as printed in damaged text.

Outcome
error of the annual yielde0
Value
2.8␒n 1996e0

Verbatim

e0

“the error of the annual yield was 2.8␒n 1996”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1639–1683 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Average fruit size predictions corresponded reasonably well with growers’ data, with 6.5 average weekly error.

Outcome
predicted average fruit sizee0
Value
6.5e0

Verbatim

e0

“The predicted average fruit size and percentage of second class fruits corresponded reasonably well with growers' data, showing average weekly errors of 6.5 nd 5.3°respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1685–1861 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predicted percentage of second-class fruits corresponded reasonably well with growers’ data, with 5.3° average weekly error.

Outcome
percentage of second class fruitse0
Value
5.3°e0

Verbatim

e0

“The predicted average fruit size and percentage of second class fruits corresponded reasonably well with growers' data, showing average weekly errors of 6.5 nd 5.3°respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1685–1861 · show in text ↑