Paper · 2015 · Crop and Pasture Science

Optimising grain yield and grazing potential of crops across Australia’s high-rainfall zone: a simulation analysis. 1. Wheat

Lindsay W. Bell; Julianne M. Lilley; James R. Hunt; et al.

8
claims
18
verbatim quotes
104
citations
1
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

Interest is growing in the potential to expand cropping into Australia’s high-rainfall zone (HRZ). Dual-purpose crops are suited to the longer growing seasons in these environments to provide both early grazing for livestock and later regrow to produce grain. Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types were simulated over 50 years at 13 locations across Australia’s HRZ, and sowing date, nitrogen (N) availability and crop density effects were explored. Potential grazing days on wheat were obtained by simulating sheep grazing crops to Zadoks growth stage Z30 at 25 dry sheep equivalents (DSE)/ha. Optimal sowing dates for each maturity type at each location were matched to the flowering window during which risk of frost and heat stress was lowest. Overall, we found significant national potential for dual-purpose use of winter wheat cultivars across Australia’s HRZ, with opportunities identified in all regions. Simulated mean wheat yields exceeded 6 t/ha at most locations, with highest mean grain yields (8–10 t/ha) in southern Victoria, and lower yields (5–7 t/ha) in the south-west of Western Australia (WA) and central and northern New South Wales (NSW). Highest grazing days were from winter cultivars sown early (March–mid-April), which could provide 1700–3000 DSE-days/ha of grazing across HRZ locations; this was 2–3 times higher than could be obtained from grazing spring cultivars (200–800 DSE-days/ha). Sowing date was critical to maximise both grazing and grain yield potential from winter cultivars; each 1-week delay in sowing after 8 March reduced grazing by 200–250 DSE-days/ha and grain yield by 0.45 t/ha. However, in Mediterranean climates, a lower frequency of early sowing opportunities before mid-April (<30% of years) is likely to limit the potential to use winter cultivars. Prospects to graze shorter season spring cultivars that fit later sowing windows require further examination in south-west WA, the slopes of NSW and southern Queensland.

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Claims 8

Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Simulated mean wheat yields exceeded 6 t/ha at most locations.

Outcome
Simulated mean wheat yieldse1
Value
6 t/hae1
Qualifier
at most locationse1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e1

“Simulated mean wheat yields exceeded 6 t/ha at most locations”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 953–1014 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Highest simulated mean grain yields (8–10 t/ha) occurred in southern Victoria.

Outcome
mean grain yieldse2
Direction
higheste2
Value
8–10 t/hae2
Setting
southern Victoriae2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e2

“highest mean grain yields (8–10 t/ha) in southern Victoria”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1021–1079 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Lower simulated yields (5–7 t/ha) occurred in south-west Western Australia and in central and northern New South Wales.

Outcome
yieldse3
Direction
lowere3
Value
5–7 t/hae3
Setting
the south-west of Western Australia (WA)e3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e3

“lower yields (5–7 t/ha) in the south-west of Western Australia (WA) and central and northern New South Wales (NSW)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1085–1199 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Winter cultivars sown early gave 2–3 times more grazing days than spring cultivars, with 1700–3000 DSE-days/ha.

Treatment
winter cultivars sown early (March–mid-April)e5
Outcome
grazing dayse5
Direction
highere4
Value
1700–3000 DSE-days/hae6
Qualifier
200–800 DSE-days/hae4
Comparator
spring cultivarse4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e4

“this was 2–3 times higher than could be obtained from grazing spring cultivars (200–800 DSE-days/ha)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1354–1454 · show in text ↑
e5

“Highest grazing days were from winter cultivars sown early (March–mid-April)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1201–1277 · show in text ↑
e6

“which could provide 1700–3000 DSE-days/ha of grazing across HRZ locations”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1279–1352 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Each 1-week delay in sowing after 8 March reduced grazing by 200–250 DSE-days/ha.

Treatment
1-week delay in sowing after 8 Marche7
Outcome
grazinge7
Direction
reducede7
Value
200–250 DSE-days/hae7

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e7

“each 1-week delay in sowing after 8 March reduced grazing by 200–250 DSE-days/ha and grain yield by 0.45 t/ha”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1555–1664 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Each 1-week delay in sowing after 8 March reduced grain yield by 0.45 t/ha.

Treatment
1-week delay in sowing after 8 Marche7
Outcome
grain yielde7
Direction
reducede7
Value
0.45 t/hae7

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e7

“each 1-week delay in sowing after 8 March reduced grazing by 200–250 DSE-days/ha and grain yield by 0.45 t/ha”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1555–1664 · show in text ↑
Associationhypothesisoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A lower frequency of early sowing opportunities is likely to limit the potential to use winter cultivars in Mediterranean climates.

Treatment
early sowing opportunities before mid-Aprile7
Outcome
the potential to use winter cultivarse7
Direction
limite7
Setting
Mediterranean climatese7

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e7

“in Mediterranean climates, a lower frequency of early sowing opportunities before mid-April (<30% of years) is likely to limit the potential to use winter cultivars”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1675–1839 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Significant national potential exists for dual-purpose use of winter wheat cultivars across Australia’s HRZ.

Outcome
national potential for dual-purpose use of winter wheat cultivarse7
Setting
across Australia’s HRZe7

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yield and grazing potential of wheats of four different maturity types”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 260–336 · show in text ↑
e7

“Overall, we found significant national potential for dual-purpose use of winter wheat cultivars across Australia’s HRZ”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 787–905 · show in text ↑

sowing time · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

462 papers: 266 positive, 196 negative or no effect

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