Paper · 2019 · Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics

Factors Affecting the Productivity of the Big Onion in Hambantota District during the Off Season

M. K. M. Sulochana; L. S. Nawarathna

7
claims
11
verbatim quotes
0
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

Aim: The main aim of this study is to identify the factors affecting the big onion productivity of Hambantota district during the off-season. Moreover, we identify the average productivity per acre from Hambantota district and compare it with the other areas that cultivated the big onion. Further, identify the main issues encountered in big onion cultivation in Hambantota and identify the critical contributing factors for the big onion cultivation in this area. Place and Duration of Study: During the off seasons in 2015 to 2016 in Hambantota District. Methodology: Sample data was collected from 201 farmers in Hambantota district. Multiple linear regression model was used to identify the factors affecting the big onion productivity in Hambantota district during the off-season. The normality assumption of the regression model was checked using Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, Shapiro Wilk normality test and Skewness and Kurtosis test. Pearson, Spearman’s Rank and Partial correlation tests were used to check the correlations between variables. Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and Symmetrical Mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) values were used to validate the fitted model. Results: By the multiple linear regression model main factors affecting the productivity of big onion in Hambantota area were Seasonal Months, Monthly Income, Subsidies Fertilizer and Cultivated Quantity. And the R-squared value was most like to 80% and this means these independent variables were described 80% of the dependent variable. Model accuracies were reported as 98.48% and 98.49% from MAPE and SMAPE respectively. Therefore, this multiple linear regression model was suitable for this study. Further, the model determined the affected factors for the big onion cultivation in Hambantota district during the off-season. Conclusion: Hambantota district average productivity was less than other areas. Big onion productivity of Matale is more than 2 times greater than big onion productivity of Hambantota. Off season big onion cultivation in Hambantota district is not very effective because of the average productivity is less than other areas in Sri Lanka.

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Claims 7

Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Seasonal months, income, fertilizer subsidies, and cultivated quantity were factors associated with onion productivity.

Taxon
big onione0
Outcome
productivity of big onione0
Qualifier
Seasonal Months, Monthly Income, Subsidies Fertilizer and Cultivated Quantitye0
Setting
Hambantota areae0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“main factors affecting the productivity of big onion in Hambantota area were Seasonal Months, Monthly Income, Subsidies Fertilizer and Cultivated Quantity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1238–1392 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The regression model explained about 80% of onion productivity variation.

Taxon
big oniont0
Outcome
R-squared valuee0
Value
80%e0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“the R-squared value was most like to 80% and this means these independent variables were described 80% of the dependent variable”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1398–1526 · show in text ↑
t0

“Big Onion”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–51 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

MAPE-based model accuracy was 98.48%.

Taxon
Big Oniont0
Outcome
Model accuraciese0
Value
98.48%e0
Qualifier
MAPEe0

Verbatim

e0

“Model accuracies were reported as 98.48% and 98.49% from MAPE and SMAPE respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1528–1612 · show in text ↑
t0

“Big Onion”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–51 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

SMAPE-based model accuracy was 98.49%.

Taxon
Big Oniont0
Outcome
Model accuraciese0
Value
98.49%e0
Qualifier
SMAPEe0

Verbatim

e0

“Model accuracies were reported as 98.48% and 98.49% from MAPE and SMAPE respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1528–1612 · show in text ↑
t0

“Big Onion”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–51 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Hambantota average onion productivity was below that of other areas.

Taxon
Big Oniont0
Outcome
average productivitye0
Direction
less thane0
Comparator
other arease0
Setting
Hambantota districte0

Verbatim

e0

“Hambantota district average productivity was less than other areas”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1831–1897 · show in text ↑
t0

“Big Onion”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–51 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Matale onion productivity exceeded Hambantota by more than twofold.

Taxon
Big onione0
Outcome
productivitye0
Direction
greater thane0
Value
more than 2 timese0
Comparator
Hambantotae0
Setting
Matalee0

Verbatim

e0

“Big onion productivity of Matale is more than 2 times greater than big onion productivity of Hambantota”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1899–2002 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The authors judged off-season onion cultivation in Hambantota ineffective due to low productivity.

Taxon
big onione0
Outcome
Off season big onion cultivation in Hambantota district is not very effectivee0

Verbatim

e0

“Off season big onion cultivation in Hambantota district is not very effective because of the average productivity is less than other areas in Sri Lanka”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2004–2155 · show in text ↑