Paper · 2023 · The Journal of Agricultural Science

Organic system vs. conventional – a Bayesian analysis of Polish potato post-registration trials

M. Przystalski; T. Lenartowicz

5
claims
10
verbatim quotes
3
citations
2
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

Abstract Interest in organic agriculture worldwide is growing and is mainly supported by a strong consumer interest. In the literature, a lot of attention has been paid to comparing organic and conventional systems, on studying the yield gap between the two systems and, how to reduce it. In the present work, based on the results from Polish organic and conventional series of field trials carried out in 2019–2021, organic and conventional systems were compared in terms of potato tuber yield. Moreover, we propose a Bayesian approach to the variety × environment × system data set and describe Bayesian counterparts of two stability measures. Using this methodology, we identify the most stable and highest tuber yielding varieties in the Polish potato organic and conventional series of field trials. It is shown that the tuber yield in the organic system was approx. 44% lower than the tuber yield in the conventional system. Moreover, varieties Tajfun and Otolia were the most stable and highest yielding varieties in the organic system, whereas in the conventional system, the variety Jurek was the most stable and highest yielding variety among the tested varieties. In the present work, the use of the Bayesian approach allowed us to calculate the probability that the mean of a given variety in given system exceeds the mean of control varieties in that system.

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Claims 5

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Potato tuber yield in the organic system was approximately 44% lower than in the conventional system.

Treatment
organic systeme0
Outcome
tuber yielde0
Direction
lowere0
Value
approx. 44%e0
Comparator
conventional systeme0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the tuber yield in the organic system was approx. 44% lower than the tuber yield in the conventional system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 822–929 · show in text ↑
t0

“potato”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 64–70 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Potato variety Tajfun was among the most stable and highest yielding varieties in the organic system.

Material
Tajfune1
Outcome
most stable and highest yieldinge1
Qualifier
organic systeme1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“varieties Tajfun and Otolia were the most stable and highest yielding varieties in the organic system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 941–1042 · show in text ↑
t0

“potato”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 64–70 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Potato variety Otolia was among the most stable and highest yielding varieties in the organic system.

Material
Otoliae1
Outcome
most stable and highest yieldinge1
Qualifier
organic systeme1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“varieties Tajfun and Otolia were the most stable and highest yielding varieties in the organic system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 941–1042 · show in text ↑
t0

“potato”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 64–70 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Potato variety Jurek was the most stable and highest yielding variety among those tested in the conventional system.

Material
Jureke2
Outcome
most stable and highest yieldinge2
Qualifier
conventional systeme2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“in the conventional system, the variety Jurek was the most stable and highest yielding variety among the tested varieties”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1052–1173 · show in text ↑
t0

“potato”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 64–70 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The Bayesian approach allowed calculating the probability that a variety mean in a given system exceeds the mean of control varieties in that system.

Outcome
probability that the mean of a given variety in given system exceeds the meane3
Comparator
control varietiese3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e3

“the use of the Bayesian approach allowed us to calculate the probability that the mean of a given variety in given system exceeds the mean of control varieties in that system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1196–1370 · show in text ↑
t0

“potato”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 64–70 · show in text ↑

cultivation system · yield · Solanum tuberosum (potato)Positive and negative results

25 papers: 15 positive, 10 negative or no effect

9 papers in the same direction as this paper · 15 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

21 papers more in this group

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.