Abstract
Our study utilized 374 geographical distribution records of H. mutabilis and 19 bioclimatic factors, employing the MaxEnt model and the Geographic Information System (ArcGIS). The key environmental variables influencing the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis were analyzed through the comprehensive contribution rate, permutation importance, and Pearson correlation coefficient. Based on this analysis, the contemporary and future suitable distribution areas and their extents were predicted. The results indicate that the key limiting factor affecting the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis is the precipitation of the driest month (bio14), with secondary factors being annual precipitation (bio12), annual mean temperature (bio1), and annual temperature range (bio7). Under contemporary climate conditions, the total suitable area for H. mutabilis is approximately 2,076,600 km2, primarily concentrated in the tropical and subtropical regions of southeastern China. Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5), the total suitable area of H. mutabilis shows a trend of first decreasing and then increasing compared to the current scenario. In contrast, under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), it exhibits a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. The spatial pattern changes indicate that the retention rate of suitable areas for H. mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%, with the distribution centers primarily located in Hunan and Guizhou provinces, showing an overall migration trend towards the west and north. These findings suggest that H. mutabilis possesses a certain level of adaptability to climate change. However, it is crucial to consider regional drought and sudden drought events in practical cultivation and introduction processes. The results of our study provide a scientific basis for the rational cultivation management, conservation, and utilization of germplasm resources of H. mutabilis.
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Claims 8
Claim · model-written summary
Precipitation of the driest month (bio14) is the key limiting factor for the suitable distribution areas of Hibiscus mutabilis.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilis
Hibiscus mutabilise1 - Treatment
- precipitation of the driest month (bio14)e1
- Outcome
- suitable distribution arease1
Not reportedDirection
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e1“the key limiting factor affecting the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis is the precipitation of the driest month (bio14)”
Claim · model-written summary
The total suitable area of Hibiscus mutabilis under contemporary climate is about 2,076,600 km2, mainly in southeastern China.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise2
- Outcome
- total suitable areae2
- Value
- 2,076,600 km2e2
- Setting
- tropical and subtropical regions of southeastern Chinae2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e2“Under contemporary climate conditions, the total suitable area for H. mutabilis is approximately 2,076,600 km2, primarily concentrated in the tropical and subtropical regions of southeastern China”
Claim · model-written summary
Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios, the total suitable area of Hibiscus mutabilis first decreases and then increases compared with the current scenario.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise3
- Treatment
- low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5)e3
- Outcome
- total suitable areae3
- Direction
- first decreasing and then increasinge3
- Comparator
- current scenarioe3
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e3“Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5), the total suitable area of H. mutabilis shows a trend of first decreasing and then increasing compared to the current scenario”
Claim · model-written summary
Under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), the total suitable area of Hibiscus mutabilis first increases and then decreases.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise3
- Treatment
- high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5)e4
- Outcome
- total suitable areae3
- Direction
- first increasing and then decreasinge4
- Comparator
- current scenarioe3
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e3“Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5), the total suitable area of H. mutabilis shows a trend of first decreasing and then increasing compared to the current scenario”
e4“In contrast, under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), it exhibits a trend of first increasing and then decreasing”
Claim · model-written summary
The retention rate of suitable areas for Hibiscus mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise5
- Outcome
- retention rate of suitable arease5
- Value
- 95.28% to 99.28%e5
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e5“The spatial pattern changes indicate that the retention rate of suitable areas for H. mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%”
Claim · model-written summary
The distribution centres of Hibiscus mutabilis lie mainly in Hunan and Guizhou and shift overall towards the west and north.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise5
- Outcome
- distribution centerse6
- Qualifier
- overall migration trend towards the west and northe6
- Setting
- Hunan and Guizhou provincese6
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e5“The spatial pattern changes indicate that the retention rate of suitable areas for H. mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%”
e6“with the distribution centers primarily located in Hunan and Guizhou provinces, showing an overall migration trend towards the west and north”
Claim · model-written summary
Hibiscus mutabilis has a certain level of adaptability to climate change.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise7
- Outcome
- adaptability to climate changee7
- Qualifier
- a certain level ofe7
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e7“These findings suggest that H. mutabilis possesses a certain level of adaptability to climate change”
Claim · model-written summary
Regional drought and sudden drought events should be considered in practical cultivation and introduction of Hibiscus mutabilis.
- Taxon
- H. mutabilisHibiscus mutabilise0
- Outcome
- regional drought and sudden drought eventse1
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“These findings suggest that H. mutabilis possesses a certain level of adaptability to climate change”
e1“it is crucial to consider regional drought and sudden drought events in practical cultivation and introduction processes”