Paper · 2025 · Environmental Research Communications

Stacked ensemble model for accurate crop yield prediction using machine learning techniques

Ramesh V; Kumaresan P

7
claims
14
verbatim quotes
20
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Abstract Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture, as these forecasts influence decision-making at global, regional, and individual crop levels. Historically, such predictions have utilized diverse data sources, including agricultural, land, climatic, atmospheric, and other pertinent information. Over the past several years, the application of machine learning techniques has emerged as a valuable analytical approach for estimating agricultural productivity, thereby informing decisions regarding crop selection and management strategies throughout the entire growing cycle. Various kinds of machine learning models have been utilized in research to forecast crop yields. Our work proposes a stacked ensemble model designed for the purpose of predicting crop yield. The proposed model employs a stacked ensemble learning approach, with a Decision Tree Regressor functioning as the meta-model to amalgamate predictions from six distinct base learner models: Linear Regression (LR), Elastic Net, XGBoost Regressor, K-Neighbors Regressor (KNR), AdaBoost Regressor, and Random Forest Regressor (RFR). The proposed stacked ensemble model achieves superior crop yield prediction performance, evidenced by a notable enhancement in accuracy and a significant decrease in RMSE, surpassing the predictive capabilities of traditional machine learning models. The ensemble model’s performance was assessed using several metrics, including a Mean Absolute Error of 7.20 tons/hectare, Mean Square Error of 15570.32 tons 2 /hectare 2 , Root Mean Square Error of 124.78 tons/hectare, and Coefficient of Determination (R 2 Score) of 0.98. The performance results demonstrate that stacked ensemble model outperforms other conventional machine learning approaches, achieving a high R-squared score of 98%.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 7

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The stacked ensemble model achieves superior crop yield prediction performance compared with traditional machine learning models.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
crop yield prediction performancee1
Direction
superiore1
Comparator
traditional machine learning modelse1

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e1

“The proposed stacked ensemble model achieves superior crop yield prediction performance, evidenced by a notable enhancement in accuracy and a significant decrease in RMSE, surpassing the predictive capabilities of traditional machine learning models”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1125–1374 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The stacked ensemble model notably enhances accuracy compared with traditional machine learning models.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
accuracye1
Direction
enhancemente1
Comparator
traditional machine learning modelse1

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e1

“The proposed stacked ensemble model achieves superior crop yield prediction performance, evidenced by a notable enhancement in accuracy and a significant decrease in RMSE, surpassing the predictive capabilities of traditional machine learning models”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1125–1374 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

The stacked ensemble model significantly decreases RMSE compared with traditional machine learning models.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
RMSEe1
Direction
decreasee1
Comparator
traditional machine learning modelse1

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e1

“The proposed stacked ensemble model achieves superior crop yield prediction performance, evidenced by a notable enhancement in accuracy and a significant decrease in RMSE, surpassing the predictive capabilities of traditional machine learning models”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1125–1374 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Mean Absolute Error of the stacked ensemble model is 7.20 tons/hectare.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
Mean Absolute Errore2
Value
7.20 tons/hectaree2

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e2

“Mean Absolute Error of 7.20 tons/hectare”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1457–1497 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Mean Square Error of the stacked ensemble model is 15570.32 tons 2 /hectare 2.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
Mean Square Errore3
Value
15570.32 tons 2 /hectare 2e3

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e3

“Mean Square Error of 15570.32 tons 2 /hectare 2”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1499–1546 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Root Mean Square Error of the stacked ensemble model is 124.78 tons/hectare.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
Root Mean Square Errore4
Value
124.78 tons/hectaree4

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e4

“Root Mean Square Error of 124.78 tons/hectare”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1549–1594 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Coefficient of determination (R2) of the stacked ensemble model is 0.98.

Taxon
crope0
Outcome
Coefficient of Determination (R 2 Score)e5
Value
0.98e5

Verbatim

e0

“Predicting crop yields remains a crucial challenge in agriculture”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 9–74 · show in text ↑
e5

“Coefficient of Determination (R 2 Score) of 0.98”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1600–1648 · show in text ↑