Paper · 2026 · Smart Agricultural Technology

Field-deployable coffee yield estimation from mobile phone images using branch segmentation and occlusion correction

Romain Gautron; Mathieu Seurin; Eric Rahn; et al.

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Open access · cc-by-nc-nd

Abstract

• Smartphone photos enable scalable coffee yield estimation in real field conditions. • Branch segmentation and occlusion correction improve yield estimation accuracy. • Vision pipeline performs well across smallholder systems and data capture modalities. • Data capture modalities impact both yield accuracy and ease of image collection. Accurate coffee yield estimation is critical for crop management, labor and financial planning, and value-chain transparency, including compliance with the EU Deforestation Regulation. However, manual cherry counting remains labor-intensive, error-prone, and unreliable as worker fatigue sets in, highlighting the need for automated, scalable alternatives. This study introduces a novel deep-learning framework for automated coffee cherry counting using images captured with low- to mid-range smartphones across diverse smallholder farming contexts. The pipeline combines automated branch segmentation, cherry detection, and a regression-based correction module to account for occluded cherries, accommodating different data-capture modalities. We evaluated the framework on 7,025 annotated images from Colombia, Peru, Honduras, and Uganda, covering both Coffea arabica and Coffea canephora (Robusta) coffee species. Under optimal image-capture conditions (i.e., full background isolation), the model achieved high accuracy, reaching an R 2 of up to 0.96 and reducing the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to as low as 10% at the plot level, outperforming state-of-the-art methods. By reducing manual effort and addressing real-world constraints in smallholder settings, this approach offers a strong foundation for scalable coffee yield estimation. Future research should prioritize human-centered design validation and detailed cost-benefit analyses to support widespread adoption and long-term sustainability.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by-nc-nd. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 4

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Branch segmentation and occlusion correction improved coffee yield estimation accuracy.

Taxon
coffeeCoffeat0
Outcome
yield estimation accuracye0
Direction
improvee0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Coffea
Coffea · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Marcelo Corrêa · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

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“Branch segmentation and occlusion correction improve yield estimation accuracy”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 88–166 · show in text ↑
t0

“coffee yield estimation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 17–40 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Data capture modalities affected coffee yield accuracy and ease of collection.

Taxon
coffeeCoffeat0
Outcome
yield accuracy and ease of image collectione0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Coffea
Coffea · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Marcelo Corrêa · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Data capture modalities impact both yield accuracy and ease of image collection”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 258–337 · show in text ↑
t0

“coffee yield estimation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 17–40 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At plot level under full background isolation, the model reached R 2 up to 0.96.

Taxon
coffeeCoffeat0
Outcome
accuracye0
Value
R 2 of up to 0.96e0
Qualifier
full background isolatione0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Coffea
Coffea · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Marcelo Corrêa · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Under optimal image-capture conditions (i.e., full background isolation), the model achieved high accuracy, reaching an R 2 of up to 0.96”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1256–1393 · show in text ↑
t0

“coffee yield estimation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 17–40 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At plot level under full background isolation, MAPE was as low as 10%.

Taxon
coffeeCoffeat0
Outcome
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)e0
Direction
reducinge0
Value
10%e0
Comparator
state-of-the-art methodse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Coffea
Coffea · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Marcelo Corrêa · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“reducing the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to as low as 10% at the plot level, outperforming state-of-the-art methods”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1398–1523 · show in text ↑
t0

“coffee yield estimation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 17–40 · show in text ↑