Paper · 2026 · Computers and Electronics in Agriculture

A hybrid machine-learning and process-based regional crop modelling framework to improve rice production strategies under data constraints

Qiang Li; Xia Liang; Maofang Gao; et al.

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Open access · cc-by

Abstract

• Coupled PSO and DSSAT to model Lao rice systems under severe data scarcity. • Simulated rice yield and CH 4 , N 2 O, and NH 3 emission in Laos. • Identified a national economic N guidance band of 25–30 kg N ha −1 . • Province-specific N tuning improved profit while maintaining high NUE. Rice production in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) is fundamental to national food security, yet its productivity and environmental impacts remain poorly quantified due to limited monitoring and data availability. To address this challenge, we developed a spatially explicit and cost-effective regional rice crop modelling framework by coupling the Decision Support System for Agro-technology Transfer (DSSAT) model with a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. This hybrid framework was applied to simulate rice growth and associated environmental impacts across Laos from 2012 to 2022. Using available provincial yield statistics for model calibration, we quantified rice yields and greenhouse gas emissions in wet-season rain-fed rice systems. At the province scale, fertilizer response curves show that high fertilizer prices relative to rice prices substantially reduce the economically optimum N application rate. We identified a national guidance range of 25–30 kg N ha −1 with province-specific adjustments, capable of improving farm profitability (70–110%) while sustaining high N use efficiency (NUE) (90–110 kg kg −1 ). Our results highlight the potential for Laos to advance environmentally sustainable (green) rice production. The proposed PSO + DSSAT framework offers a transferable tool for supporting sustainable rice management in regions with limited data coverage.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

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Claims 5

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The PSO and DSSAT framework simulated rice growth and environmental impacts across Laos from 2012 to 2022.

Outcome
rice growth and associated environmental impactse0
Value
2012 to 2022e0
Setting
Laose0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“This hybrid framework was applied to simulate rice growth and associated environmental impacts across Laos from 2012 to 2022.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 773–898 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

High fertilizer prices relative to rice prices reduced the economically optimum nitrogen rate.

Outcome
economically optimum N application ratee0
Direction
reducee0
Comparator
rice pricese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“high fertilizer prices relative to rice prices substantially reduce the economically optimum N application rate”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1118–1229 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The model identified a national nitrogen guidance range of 25–30 kg N ha −1.

Outcome
national guidance rangee0
Value
25–30 kg N ha −1e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“We identified a national guidance range of 25–30 kg N ha −1 with province-specific adjustments”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1231–1325 · show in text ↑
t0

“rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 89–93 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Province-specific nitrogen adjustment could improve farm profitability by 70–110%.

Outcome
farm profitabilitye0
Direction
improvinge0
Value
70–110%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“with province-specific adjustments, capable of improving farm profitability (70–110%) while sustaining high N use efficiency (NUE) (90–110 kg kg −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1291–1440 · show in text ↑
t0

“rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 89–93 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Province-specific nitrogen adjustment could sustain nitrogen use efficiency at 90–110 kg kg −1.

Outcome
N use efficiency (NUE)e0
Value
90–110 kg kg −1e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“with province-specific adjustments, capable of improving farm profitability (70–110%) while sustaining high N use efficiency (NUE) (90–110 kg kg −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1291–1440 · show in text ↑
t0

“rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 89–93 · show in text ↑