Paper · 2008 · Soil Science & Plant Nutrition

Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan: Effect of low water stress resulting from a decrease in soil water

Toshiro Nakatsuji; Seiji Kiso

8
claims
16
verbatim quotes
0
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

The impact of global warming on changes in dry matter production (DMP) of an orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerata L.) located on three soils (coarse, medium and fine textured) in Northern Hokkaido, Japan, was estimated. The influence of low water stress resulting from a decrease in soil water on a change in impact was evaluated through simulations by using a climate change scenario and a previously validated grass growth model (CitationNakatsuji et al. 2002a). The effect of low water stress on growth during the first grass growing period (early May–early June) because of global warming would not be so intensive that the DMP would be expected to increase (1.2–1.4-fold of the present), except for fine-textured soil in low precipitation. In contrast, for the second grass growing period (mid June–early August), the effect of low water stress on growth would intensify over the years. An increase in DMP could be hardly expected in the case of low precipitation and finer-textured soil. The changes in DMP during the third grass growing period (mid August–mid September) with global warming and the influence of the amount of precipitation on these changes were negligible. The total DMP from the three cutting periods increased with global warming regardless of the soil texture and the amount of precipitation, although the finer the soil texture, the lower the total weight. However, the maximum ratio of the total DMP in the future to the present because of global warming was approximately 1.2-fold at most. This ratio was smaller than the previously reported value, estimated solely based on weather conditions over 100 years. It can be concluded that when we evaluate the change in grass production associated with global warming, it is important to take into account not only the effect of the increase in temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration, but also the effect of the occurrence of low water stress resulting from a decrease in soil water, depending on the amount of precipitation or soil water retention characteristics.

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Claims 8

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositiveprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Under global warming, dry matter production of orchardgrass in the first growing period was expected to increase 1.2-1.4-fold relative to the present, except on fine-textured soil in low precipitation.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
low water stresse1
Outcome
DMPe1
Direction
increasee1
Value
1.2–1.4-folde1
Qualifier
first grass growing period (early May–early June)e1
Comparator
the presente1
Setting
Northern Hokkaido, Japant0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e1

“The effect of low water stress on growth during the first grass growing period (early May–early June) because of global warming would not be so intensive that the DMP would be expected to increase (1.2–1.4-fold of the present)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 461–687 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositiveprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Total dry matter production of orchardgrass from three cuts increased with global warming regardless of soil texture and precipitation.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
global warminge2
Outcome
total DMPe2
Direction
increasede2
Qualifier
regardless of the soil texture and the amount of precipitatione2
Setting
Northern Hokkaido, Japant0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e2

“The total DMP from the three cutting periods increased with global warming regardless of the soil texture and the amount of precipitation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1177–1314 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Finer soil texture was associated with lower total dry matter production of orchardgrass.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
the finer the soil texturee3
Outcome
total weighte3
Direction
lowere3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e3

“although the finer the soil texture, the lower the total weight”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1316–1379 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultno effectprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Changes in dry matter production during the third growing period under global warming were negligible.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
global warminge4
Outcome
changes in DMPe4
Direction
no_changeinferrede4
Qualifier
third grass growing periode4

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e4

“The changes in DMP during the third grass growing period (mid August–mid September) with global warming and the influence of the amount of precipitation on these changes were negligible”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 990–1175 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

An increase in dry matter production of orchardgrass is hardly expected under low precipitation and on finer-textured soil.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
low precipitation and finer-textured soile5
Outcome
DMPe5
Direction
increasee5
Qualifier
could be hardly expectede5

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e5

“An increase in DMP could be hardly expected in the case of low precipitation and finer-textured soil”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 888–988 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositiveprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The maximum ratio of future to present total dry matter production of orchardgrass under global warming is about 1.2-fold at most.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Treatment
global warminge6
Outcome
maximum ratio of the total DMPe6
Direction
maximume6
Value
approximately 1.2-folde6
Qualifier
at moste6
Comparator
the presente6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e6

“However, the maximum ratio of the total DMP in the future to the present because of global warming was approximately 1.2-fold at most”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1381–1514 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The projected ratio of total dry matter production is smaller than the ratio from a previously reported estimate based on weather only.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Outcome
ratioe7
Direction
smallere7
Comparator
the previously reported valuee7

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e7

“This ratio was smaller than the previously reported value”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1516–1573 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Future assessments of grass production change under global warming should account for low water stress from reduced soil water.

Taxon
orchardgrassDactylis glomeratat0
Outcome
change in grass productione0
Qualifier
low water stresse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Dactylis glomerata
Dactylis glomerata · TaxonW. Bulach · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Evaluating the change in orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerataL.) production associated with global warming in Northern Hokkaido, Japan”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–130 · show in text ↑
e0

“when we evaluate the change in grass production associated with global warming, it is important to take into account not only the effect of the increase in temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration, but also the effect of the occurrence of low water stress resulting from a decrease in soil water”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1661–1961 · show in text ↑

drought · yield · Dactylis glomerata (cocksfoot)Positive and negative results

11 papers: 2 positive, 9 negative or no effect

1 paper in the same direction as this paper · 9 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. negative

7 papers more in this group

See all 11 papers →

heat · yield · Dactylis glomerata (cocksfoot)Results agree

2 papers: 2 positive, 0 negative or no effect

1 paper in the same direction as this paper

  1. positive
See all 2 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.