Paper · 2004 · Plant Disease

Development of MILIONCAST, an Improved Model for Predicting Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions

Tijs Gilles; Kath Phelps; John P. Clarkson; et al.

8
claims
19
verbatim quotes
39
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

The effects of temperature and relative humidity on Peronospora destructor sporulation on onion (Allium cepa) leaves were studied under controlled environmental conditions. Sporangia were produced most rapidly at 8 to 12°C after 5 h of high humidity during dark periods. The greatest number of sporangia was produced at 100% relative humidity (RH), and sporulation decreased to almost nil when humidity decreased to 93% RH. A model, named MILIONCAST (an acronym for MILdew on onION foreCAST), was developed based on the data from these controlled environment studies to predict the rate of sporulation in relation to temperature and relative humidity. The accuracy of prediction of sporulation was evaluated by comparing predictions with observations of sporulation on infected plants in pots outdoors. The accuracy of MILIONCAST was compared with the accuracy of existing models based on DOWNCAST. MILIONCAST gave more correct predictions of sporulation than the DOWNCAST models and a random model. All models based on DOWNCAST were more accurate than the random model when compared on the basis of all predictions (including positive and negative predictions), but they gave fewer correct predictions of sporulation than the random model. De Visser's DOWNCAST and ONIMIL improved their accuracy of prediction of sporulation events when the threshold humidity for sporulation was reduced to 92% RH. The temporal pattern of predicted sporulation by MILIONCAST generally corresponded well to the pattern of sporulation observed on the outdoor potted plants at Wellesbourne, UK.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 8

Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Sporangia were produced most rapidly at 8 to 12°C after 5 h of high humidity during dark periods on onion.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Treatment
8 to 12°C after 5 h of high humidity during dark periodse1
Interactor
Peronospora destructorPeronospora destructore0pathogen
Outcome
Sporangiae1
Direction
most rapidlye1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Peronospora destructor
Peronospora destructor · InteractorHoward F. Schwartz, Colorado State University, Bugwood.org · CC BY 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e0

“Peronospora destructor sporulation on onion (Allium cepa) leaves”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 52–116 · show in text ↑
e1

“Sporangia were produced most rapidly at 8 to 12°C after 5 h of high humidity during dark periods”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 173–269 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The greatest number of sporangia was produced at 100% relative humidity on onion.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Treatment
100% relative humidity (RH)e2
Interactor
Peronospora destructorPeronospora destructore0pathogen
Outcome
number of sporangiae2
Direction
greateste2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Peronospora destructor
Peronospora destructor · InteractorHoward F. Schwartz, Colorado State University, Bugwood.org · CC BY 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e0

“Peronospora destructor sporulation on onion (Allium cepa) leaves”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 52–116 · show in text ↑
e2

“The greatest number of sporangia was produced at 100% relative humidity (RH)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 271–347 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Sporulation decreased to almost nil when humidity decreased to 93% RH on onion.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Treatment
humidity decreased to 93% RHe3
Interactor
Peronospora destructorPeronospora destructore0pathogen
Outcome
sporulatione3
Direction
decreasede3
Value
almost nile3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Peronospora destructor
Peronospora destructor · InteractorHoward F. Schwartz, Colorado State University, Bugwood.org · CC BY 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e0

“Peronospora destructor sporulation on onion (Allium cepa) leaves”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 52–116 · show in text ↑
e3

“sporulation decreased to almost nil when humidity decreased to 93% RH”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 353–422 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

MILIONCAST gave more correct predictions of sporulation than the DOWNCAST models and a random model.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Outcome
correct predictions of sporulatione4
Direction
moree4
Comparator
DOWNCAST models and a random modele4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e4

“MILIONCAST gave more correct predictions of sporulation than the DOWNCAST models and a random model”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 899–998 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

All DOWNCAST-based models were more accurate than a random model when all predictions were compared.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Outcome
accuratee5
Direction
moree5
Comparator
random modele5

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e5

“All models based on DOWNCAST were more accurate than the random model when compared on the basis of all predictions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1000–1115 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

DOWNCAST-based models gave fewer correct predictions of sporulation than the random model.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Outcome
correct predictions of sporulatione6
Direction
fewere6
Comparator
random modele6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e6

“they gave fewer correct predictions of sporulation than the random model”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1167–1239 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Lowering the threshold humidity for sporulation to 92% RH improved the accuracy of DOWNCAST and ONIMIL in predicting sporulation events.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Treatment
threshold humidity for sporulation was reduced to 92% RHe7
Outcome
accuracy of prediction of sporulation eventse7
Direction
improvede7

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e7

“DOWNCAST and ONIMIL improved their accuracy of prediction of sporulation events when the threshold humidity for sporulation was reduced to 92% RH”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1253–1398 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The temporal pattern of MILIONCAST-predicted sporulation generally corresponded well to the pattern of sporulation observed on outdoor potted onion plants.

Taxon
OnionsAllium cepat0
Outcome
temporal pattern of predicted sporulatione7
Direction
corresponded welle7
Comparator
pattern of sporulation observed on the outdoor potted plantse7
Setting
Wellesbourne, UKe7

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Allium cepa
Allium cepa · TaxonMehdi · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Downy Mildew Sporulation on Onions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 60–94 · show in text ↑
e7

“The temporal pattern of predicted sporulation by MILIONCAST generally corresponded well to the pattern of sporulation observed on the outdoor potted plants at Wellesbourne, UK”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1400–1575 · show in text ↑

humidity · disease · Allium cepa (onion)Positive and negative results

7 papers: 4 positive, 3 negative or no effect

3 papers in the same direction as this paper · 3 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. negative

3 papers more in this group

See all 7 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.