Abstract
A recent study showed that drought stress was the major factor causing yield loss of the sugar beet crop in the UK. That study has been extended here by modelling potential and rain-fed yields (1961- 1995) for European areas where irrigation of sugar beet is uncommon Potential yields increased from north to south and from west to east due to increased radiation receipts. Drought losses were greatest in east Ukraine and southern Russia, at over 40% of potential yield (5 tha- 1 ) Losses were intermediate (15-30% or about 2 tha1 ) in central Ukraine, west Poland, east Germany and England (sandy soils) and lowest in NW Europe and west Ukraine. Model output was also used to examine the efficiency of sugar beet production across Europe. The impact of future climate change on sugar beet yields is assessed over western Europe using future (2021-50) climate scenario data from a General Circulation Model (GCM) and the Broom's Barn simulation model of rain-fed crop growth and yield Yield increases due to future climate change are expected in northern Europe of around 1 Uha of sugar for 2021-50 but decreases of similar magnitude in northern France, Belgium and wesUcentral Poland, despite accelerated growth in warmer springs. Drought losses are expected to approximately double in areas with an existing problem and to become a serious new problem in NE France and Belgium The annual variability of yield will also increase by half These changes are independent of the 10% yield increase expected as a direct effect of the increase in atmospheric C02 concentration.
Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record, shown for indexing and research. Copyright remains with the authors or the publisher. Read at the source ↗
The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.
Claims 11
Claim · model-written summary
Potential sugar beet yields increased north to south and west to east with higher radiation.
- Taxon
- sugar beet
Beta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0 - Outcome
- Potential yieldse0
- Direction
- increasede0
- Qualifier
- increased radiation receiptse0
- Setting
- north to south and from west to easte0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“Potential yields increased from north to south and from west to east due to increased radiation receipts.”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Drought losses in east Ukraine and southern Russia exceeded 40% of potential yield.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- Drought lossese0
- Direction
- greateste0
- Value
- over 40% of potential yielde0
- Qualifier
- 5 tha- 1e0
- Setting
- east Ukraine and southern Russiae0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“Drought losses were greatest in east Ukraine and southern Russia, at over 40% of potential yield (5 tha- 1 )”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Drought losses in central Ukraine, west Poland, east Germany and sandy soils in England were intermediate at 15–30%.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- Lossese0
- Direction
- intermediatee0
- Value
- 15-30%e0
- Qualifier
- sandy soilse0
- Setting
- central Ukraine, west Poland, east Germany and Englande0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“Losses were intermediate (15-30% or about 2 tha1 ) in central Ukraine, west Poland, east Germany and England (sandy soils)”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Drought losses were lowest in NW Europe and west Ukraine.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- loweste0
- Direction
- loweste0
- Setting
- NW Europe and west Ukrainee0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“lowest in NW Europe and west Ukraine”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Future climate is expected to increase sugar yield in northern Europe by around 1 Uha in 2021–50.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- Yielde0
- Direction
- increasese0
- Value
- around 1 Uha of sugare0
- Qualifier
- 2021-50e0
- Setting
- northern Europee0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“Yield increases due to future climate change are expected in northern Europe of around 1 Uha of sugar for 2021-50”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Future climate is expected to decrease sugar yield by a similar magnitude in northern France, Belgium and west-central Poland.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- decreasese0
- Direction
- decreasese0
- Qualifier
- similar magnitudee0
- Setting
- northern France, Belgium and wesUcentral Polande0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“decreases of similar magnitude in northern France, Belgium and wesUcentral Poland, despite accelerated growth in warmer springs.”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Warmer springs are projected to accelerate sugar beet growth in the areas with projected yield declines.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- growthe0
- Direction
- acceleratede0
- Qualifier
- warmer springse0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“accelerated growth in warmer springs”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Future drought losses are expected to approximately double where drought is already a problem.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- Drought lossese0
- Direction
- doublee0
- Value
- approximately doublee0
- Qualifier
- areas with an existing probleme0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“Drought losses are expected to approximately double in areas with an existing problem”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Drought is expected to become a serious new problem in NE France and Belgium.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- serious new probleme0
- Setting
- NE France and Belgiume0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“to become a serious new problem in NE France and Belgium”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Annual yield variability is expected to increase by half.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- annual variability of yielde0
- Direction
- increasee0
- Value
- halfe0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“The annual variability of yield will also increase by half”
t0“sugar beet”
Claim · model-written summary
Higher atmospheric CO2 is expected to increase yield by 10% directly.
- Taxon
- sugar beetBeta vulgaris subsp. vulgarist0
- Outcome
- yielde0
- Direction
- increasee0
- Value
- 10%e0
- Qualifier
- increase in atmospheric C02 concentratione0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“10% yield increase expected as a direct effect of the increase in atmospheric C02 concentration”
t0“sugar beet”