Paper · 2018 · Agronomy Journal

High‐Temperature Episodes with Spatial‐Temporal Variation Impacted Middle‐Season Rice Yield in China

Xinsu Sun; Zhiwei Long; Guangpeng Song; et al.

7
claims
10
verbatim quotes
8
citations
3
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

Core Ideas Quantified high‐temperature intensity, frequency, and duration as HDH index. High‐temperature episodes between booting and flowering increased significantly. High‐temperature episodes had a significant negative effect on rice yield. Booting and flowering stages of rice are most sensitive to high‐temperature episodes. However, the effect of spatial‐temporal characteristics of high‐temperature episodes on booting and flowering stages in the middle‐season rice cropping region of China were less commonly found in the literature. A data analysis of historical climate and rice yield was conducted to characterize the spatial and temporal variability of high‐temperature episodes between booting and flowering stages and their impact on middle‐season rice grain yield in China. Three high‐temperature indices, including high‐temperature hours (HH), high‐temperature intensity (HI), and high‐temperature degree hours (HDH), were developed to quantify the high‐temperature intensity, frequency, and duration based on maximum temperature records of the last 30 yr from 219 stations in the main middle‐season rice cropping area of China. The HH and HI indices between booting and flowering stages increased significantly in all subregions. Especially in the Central China (CC) subregion, high‐temperature episodes were more severe than those in the East China (EC) subregion and Southwest (SW) subregion. The HDH index, considering the duration and intensity of high‐temperature episodes, was required to describe the correlation between high‐temperature episodes and yield variability. Significant negative ( p < 0.05) impacts of the variability of high‐temperature episodes on the observed grain yield were found in all subregions. Rice yield would decrease by 113.9 kg ha −1 , 19.1 kg ha −1 , and 22.2 kg ha −1 with an HDH increase of 1.0°C·d in the EC, CC, and SW subregions, respectively. High‐temperature episodes were detrimental to middle‐season rice production of China.

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Claims 7

Observationobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Heat hours and intensity increased between rice booting and flowering in every subregion.

Organ / stage
booting and flowering stagese0
Outcome
HH and HI indicese0
Direction
increasede0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The HH and HI indices between booting and flowering stages increased significantly in all subregions.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1145–1246 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice Yield in China”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 81–100 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Heat episodes were more severe in Central China than in East and Southwest China.

Outcome
high‐temperature episodese0
Direction
more severee0
Comparator
East China (EC) subregion and Southwest (SW) subregione0
Setting
Central Chinae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in the Central China (CC) subregion, high‐temperature episodes were more severe than those in the East China (EC) subregion and Southwest (SW) subregion”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1258–1410 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice Yield in China”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 81–100 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The duration and intensity based HDH index was needed to describe the heat–yield correlation.

Outcome
correlation between high‐temperature episodes and yield variabilitye0
Qualifier
considering the duration and intensitye0

Not reportedComparatorValue

Verbatim

e0

“The HDH index, considering the duration and intensity of high‐temperature episodes, was required to describe the correlation between high‐temperature episodes and yield variability.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1412–1593 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultnegativesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Heat episode variability was negatively associated with observed rice grain yield across all subregions.

Outcome
observed grain yielde0
Direction
negativee0
Setting
all subregionse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Significant negative ( p < 0.05) impacts of the variability of high‐temperature episodes on the observed grain yield were found in all subregions.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1594–1740 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice Yield in China”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 81–100 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In East China, rice yield decreased 113.9 kg ha −1 for each 1.0°C·d increase in HDH.

Outcome
yielde0
Direction
decreasee0
Value
113.9 kg ha −1e0
Qualifier
HDH increase of 1.0°C·de0
Setting
ECe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Rice yield would decrease by 113.9 kg ha −1 , 19.1 kg ha −1 , and 22.2 kg ha −1 with an HDH increase of 1.0°C·d in the EC, CC, and SW subregions, respectively.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1741–1900 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In Central China, rice yield decreased 19.1 kg ha −1 for each 1.0°C·d increase in HDH.

Outcome
yielde0
Direction
decreasee0
Value
19.1 kg ha −1e0
Qualifier
HDH increase of 1.0°C·de0
Setting
CCe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Rice yield would decrease by 113.9 kg ha −1 , 19.1 kg ha −1 , and 22.2 kg ha −1 with an HDH increase of 1.0°C·d in the EC, CC, and SW subregions, respectively.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1741–1900 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In Southwest China, rice yield decreased 22.2 kg ha −1 for each 1.0°C·d increase in HDH.

Outcome
yielde0
Direction
decreasee0
Value
22.2 kg ha −1e0
Qualifier
HDH increase of 1.0°C·de0
Setting
SWe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Rice yield would decrease by 113.9 kg ha −1 , 19.1 kg ha −1 , and 22.2 kg ha −1 with an HDH increase of 1.0°C·d in the EC, CC, and SW subregions, respectively.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1741–1900 · show in text ↑