Paper · 2024 · Environmental and Sustainability Indicators

Simulation of climate-adaptation responses to rainfall variability on rainfed yield anomalies

Masoud K. Barati; Bankaru-Swamy Soundharajan; Mohammad Reza Nikoo

10
claims
14
verbatim quotes
15
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by-nc-nd

Abstract

Climate adaptation offers promising approaches to cope with the detrimental impacts of climate change on rainfed agriculture, intending to mitigate yield losses and safeguard food security worldwide. This is especially critical in the semi-arid tropics, characterized by highly variable and often intensified rainfall regimes. The current study explored the potential contribution of climate adaptation measures, specifically sowing windows and supplemental irrigation (SI), to offset the impacts of rainfall variability on rainfed crop yield in the Thondamuthur block, India. Under the proposed adaptation measures, this study analyzed the relationship between historical rainfall variability (1951–2019) and rice, maize, and sorghum yield anomalies. A seamlessly integrated framework was developed to link rainfall variability analysis with yield response simulations using the AquaCrop model. Rainfall classification analysis indicated an increase in rainfall availability during the Kharif season and a decrease during the Rabi season in Period III compared with the baseline. The late-sown Kharif and early-sown Rabi crops demonstrated effective climate adaptation, with the 27th and 38th SMWs identified as optimal climate-adapted sowing weeks, respectively. Significant decreases of 10% and 12% in SI requirements were observed in early-sown Rabi maize and sorghum, respectively. The results showed that substituting Rabi rice and maize with Rabi sorghum led to reductions of 90% and 75% in seasonal SI requirements, respectively. The early-sown Rabi rice and maize contributed to 88% and 12% relative yield increases, respectively, compared with the normal-sown. This study highlights the effectiveness of climate adaptation measures in enabling farmers to withstand climate-induced anomalies.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 10

Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Rainfall availability increased during the Kharif season in Period III compared with the baseline.

Taxon
rice, maize, and sorghumOryza sativaSorghumZea mayse2
Outcome
rainfall availabilitye1
Direction
increasee1
Qualifier
during the Kharif seasone1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Sorghum
Sorghum · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Evelyn Simak · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“Rainfall classification analysis indicated an increase in rainfall availability during the Kharif season and a decrease during the Rabi season in Period III compared with the baseline”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 896–1079 · show in text ↑
e2

“analyzed the relationship between historical rainfall variability (1951–2019) and rice, maize, and sorghum yield anomalies”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 628–750 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Rainfall availability decreased during the Rabi season in Period III compared with the baseline.

Taxon
rice, maize, and sorghumOryza sativaSorghumZea mayse2
Outcome
rainfall availabilitye1
Direction
decreasee1
Qualifier
during the Rabi seasone1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Sorghum
Sorghum · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Evelyn Simak · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“Rainfall classification analysis indicated an increase in rainfall availability during the Kharif season and a decrease during the Rabi season in Period III compared with the baseline”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 896–1079 · show in text ↑
e2

“analyzed the relationship between historical rainfall variability (1951–2019) and rice, maize, and sorghum yield anomalies”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 628–750 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The 27th sowing week was identified as optimal climate-adapted sowing week for late-sown Kharif crops.

Taxon
rice, maize, and sorghumOryza sativaSorghumZea mayse2
Outcome
optimal climate-adapted sowing weekse3
Value
27the3
Qualifier
late-sown Kharife3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Sorghum
Sorghum · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Evelyn Simak · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“analyzed the relationship between historical rainfall variability (1951–2019) and rice, maize, and sorghum yield anomalies”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 628–750 · show in text ↑
e3

“The late-sown Kharif and early-sown Rabi crops demonstrated effective climate adaptation, with the 27th and 38th SMWs identified as optimal climate-adapted sowing weeks, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1081–1263 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The 38th sowing week was identified as optimal climate-adapted sowing week for early-sown Rabi crops.

Taxon
rice, maize, and sorghumOryza sativaSorghumZea mayse2
Outcome
optimal climate-adapted sowing weekse3
Value
38the3
Qualifier
early-sown Rabie3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Sorghum
Sorghum · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Evelyn Simak · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“analyzed the relationship between historical rainfall variability (1951–2019) and rice, maize, and sorghum yield anomalies”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 628–750 · show in text ↑
e3

“The late-sown Kharif and early-sown Rabi crops demonstrated effective climate adaptation, with the 27th and 38th SMWs identified as optimal climate-adapted sowing weeks, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1081–1263 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)simulated

Claim · model-written summary

Supplemental irrigation requirements decreased by 10% in early-sown Rabi maize.

Taxon
maizeZea mayse4
Outcome
SI requirementse4
Direction
decreasese4
Value
10%e4
Qualifier
early-sown Rabie4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e4

“Significant decreases of 10% and 12% in SI requirements were observed in early-sown Rabi maize and sorghum, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1265–1385 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)simulated

Claim · model-written summary

Supplemental irrigation requirements decreased by 12% in early-sown Rabi sorghum.

Taxon
sorghumSorghume4
Outcome
SI requirementse4
Direction
decreasese4
Value
12%e4
Qualifier
early-sown Rabie4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Sorghum
Sorghum · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Evelyn Simak · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e4

“Significant decreases of 10% and 12% in SI requirements were observed in early-sown Rabi maize and sorghum, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1265–1385 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Substituting Rabi sorghum for Rabi rice reduced seasonal supplemental irrigation requirements by 90%.

Treatment
substituting Rabi rice and maize with Rabi sorghume5
Outcome
seasonal SI requirementse5
Direction
reductionse5
Value
90%e5
Comparator
Rabi ricee5

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e5

“substituting Rabi rice and maize with Rabi sorghum led to reductions of 90% and 75% in seasonal SI requirements, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1411–1536 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Substituting Rabi sorghum for Rabi maize reduced seasonal supplemental irrigation requirements by 75%.

Taxon
Rabi sorghume5
Treatment
substituting Rabi rice and maize with Rabi sorghume5
Outcome
seasonal SI requirementse5
Direction
reductionse5
Value
75%e5
Comparator
maizee5

Verbatim

e5

“substituting Rabi rice and maize with Rabi sorghum led to reductions of 90% and 75% in seasonal SI requirements, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1411–1536 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Early-sown Rabi rice had 88% relative yield increase compared with normal-sown.

Treatment
early-sowne6
Outcome
relative yielde6
Direction
increasese6
Value
88%e6
Comparator
normal-sowne6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e6

“The early-sown Rabi rice and maize contributed to 88% and 12% relative yield increases, respectively, compared with the normal-sown”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1538–1669 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Early-sown Rabi maize had 12% relative yield increase compared with normal-sown.

Taxon
maizeZea mayse6
Treatment
early-sowne6
Outcome
relative yielde6
Direction
increasese6
Value
12%e6
Comparator
normal-sowne6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e6

“The early-sown Rabi rice and maize contributed to 88% and 12% relative yield increases, respectively, compared with the normal-sown”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1538–1669 · show in text ↑

sowing time · yield · Oryza sativa (rice)Positive and negative results

193 papers: 123 positive, 70 negative or no effect

122 papers in the same direction as this paper · 68 in the opposite direction · 2 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. no effect
  2. negative
  3. no effect

189 papers more in this group

See all 193 papers →

sowing time · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

269 papers: 178 positive, 91 negative or no effect

177 papers in the same direction as this paper · 89 in the opposite direction · 2 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. negative
  3. negative

265 papers more in this group

See all 269 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.