Paper · 2025 · Crop Science

Effects of rainfall variability on productivity and profitability in the intensified annual forage–winter wheat cropping systems on the Loess Plateau of China

Xingfa Lai; Dong An; Yuying Shen

19
claims
38
verbatim quotes
2
citations
1
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Abstract Intensifying traditional fallow–winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.) (F–W) system with annual forage can increase productivity and profitability on the Loess Plateau of China. However, the uneven and variability precipitation has led to the productivity is instability. Four‐cycles field experiment from 2016 to 2020 to investigate that planting oat ( Avena sativa L.), soybean [ Glycine max L. (Merr.)], and vetch ( Vicia sativa L.) annual forages into summer fallow period on productivity, benefit, and resource use efficiency under R−30% (a 30% decrease in natural rainfall), CK (natural rainfall), and R+30% (a 30% increase in natural rainfall) three rainfall situations. Across four growing seasons with 12 rainfall situations, incorporating annual forages into fallow period significantly increased productivity and resource use efficiency, and the system productivity and net income were influenced by the intra‐ and interannual variability rainfall. Increasing precipitation significantly enhanced productivity. Compared to CK, the R+30% scenario wheat equivalent yields in F–W, oat–winter wheat (O–W), soybean–winter wheat (S–W), and vetch–winter wheat (V–W) systems were increased by 17.9%, 20.3%, 18.7%, and 25.5%, respectively. In normal years, forage oat, soybean, and vetch yields were 5545, 4339, and 2829 kg ha −1 , respectively. The F–W, O–W, S–W, and V–W wheat grain yields were 3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1 , respectively. Compared to F–W, the S–W system net income increased by 30.5%, 33.3%, and 36.3%, respectively, under dry, normal, and wet years. In consideration of yield and profitability, the S–W system is more suitable for local farmers to wheat production under future climate change on the Loess Plateau.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 19

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Adding annual forages to fallow significantly increased system productivity.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
incorporating annual forages into fallow periode1
Outcome
productivitye1
Direction
increasede1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“incorporating annual forages into fallow period significantly increased productivity and resource use efficiency”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 742–854 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Adding annual forages to fallow significantly increased resource use efficiency.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
incorporating annual forages into fallow periode1
Outcome
resource use efficiencye1
Direction
increasede1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“incorporating annual forages into fallow period significantly increased productivity and resource use efficiency”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 742–854 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Rainfall variability influenced system productivity and net income.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
system productivity and net incomee1
Setting
intra‐ and interannual variability rainfalle1

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“system productivity and net income were influenced by the intra‐ and interannual variability rainfall”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 864–965 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Increasing precipitation significantly enhanced productivity.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
Increasing precipitatione1
Outcome
productivitye1
Direction
enhancede1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Increasing precipitation significantly enhanced productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 967–1027 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At R+30%, fallow–wheat wheat-equivalent yield rose 17.9% versus CK.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Material
F–We1
Treatment
R+30%e1
Outcome
wheat equivalent yieldse1
Direction
increasede1
Value
17.9%e1
Comparator
CKe1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to CK, the R+30% scenario wheat equivalent yields in F–W, oat–winter wheat (O–W), soybean–winter wheat (S–W), and vetch–winter wheat (V–W) systems were increased by 17.9%, 20.3%, 18.7%, and 25.5%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1029–1247 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At R+30%, oat–winter wheat wheat-equivalent yield rose 20.3% versus CK.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
R+30%e1
Outcome
wheat equivalent yieldse1
Direction
increasede1
Value
20.3%e1
Qualifier
oat–winter wheat (O–W)e1
Comparator
CKe1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to CK, the R+30% scenario wheat equivalent yields in F–W, oat–winter wheat (O–W), soybean–winter wheat (S–W), and vetch–winter wheat (V–W) systems were increased by 17.9%, 20.3%, 18.7%, and 25.5%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1029–1247 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At R+30%, soybean–winter wheat wheat-equivalent yield rose 18.7% versus CK.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
R+30%e1
Outcome
wheat equivalent yieldse1
Direction
increasede1
Value
18.7%e1
Qualifier
soybean–winter wheat (S–W)e1
Comparator
CKe1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to CK, the R+30% scenario wheat equivalent yields in F–W, oat–winter wheat (O–W), soybean–winter wheat (S–W), and vetch–winter wheat (V–W) systems were increased by 17.9%, 20.3%, 18.7%, and 25.5%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1029–1247 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

At R+30%, vetch–winter wheat wheat-equivalent yield rose 25.5% versus CK.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
R+30%e1
Outcome
wheat equivalent yieldse1
Direction
increasede1
Value
25.5%e1
Qualifier
vetch–winter wheat (V–W)e1
Comparator
CKe1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to CK, the R+30% scenario wheat equivalent yields in F–W, oat–winter wheat (O–W), soybean–winter wheat (S–W), and vetch–winter wheat (V–W) systems were increased by 17.9%, 20.3%, 18.7%, and 25.5%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1029–1247 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In normal years, forage oat yield was 5545 kg ha −1.

Outcome
forage oat, soybean, and vetch yieldse1
Value
5545, 4339, and 2829 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
In normal yearse1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Avena sativa
Avena sativa · TaxonSendelbach ( talk ) · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“planting oat ( Avena sativa L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 346–377 · show in text ↑
e1

“In normal years, forage oat, soybean, and vetch yields were 5545, 4339, and 2829 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1249–1353 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In normal years, soybean forage yield was 4339 kg ha −1.

Taxon
soybeanGlycine maxe0
Outcome
yieldse1
Value
4339, and 2829 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
In normal yearse1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“soybean [ Glycine max L. (Merr.)]”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 379–412 · show in text ↑
e1

“In normal years, forage oat, soybean, and vetch yields were 5545, 4339, and 2829 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1249–1353 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In normal years, vetch forage yield was 2829 kg ha −1.

Taxon
vetche0
Outcome
yieldse1
Value
2829 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
In normal yearse1

Verbatim

e0

“vetch ( Vicia sativa L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 418–442 · show in text ↑
e1

“In normal years, forage oat, soybean, and vetch yields were 5545, 4339, and 2829 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1249–1353 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Fallow–winter wheat grain yield was 3785 kg ha −1.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
wheat grain yieldse1
Value
3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
F–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“The F–W, O–W, S–W, and V–W wheat grain yields were 3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1355–1456 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Oat–winter wheat grain yield was 3089 kg ha −1.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
wheat grain yieldse1
Value
3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
O–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“The F–W, O–W, S–W, and V–W wheat grain yields were 3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1355–1456 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Soybean–winter wheat grain yield was 4014 kg ha −1.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
wheat grain yieldse1
Value
4014, and 3286 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
S–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“The F–W, O–W, S–W, and V–W wheat grain yields were 3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1355–1456 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Vetch–winter wheat grain yield was 3286 kg ha −1.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
wheat grain yieldse1
Value
3286 kg ha −1e1
Qualifier
V–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“The F–W, O–W, S–W, and V–W wheat grain yields were 3785, 3089, 4014, and 3286 kg ha −1 , respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1355–1456 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Soybean–winter wheat increased net income by 30.5% versus fallow–wheat in dry years.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
S–W systeme1
Outcome
net incomee1
Direction
increasede1
Value
30.5%e1
Qualifier
drye1
Comparator
F–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to F–W, the S–W system net income increased by 30.5%, 33.3%, and 36.3%, respectively, under dry, normal, and wet years”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1458–1585 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Soybean–winter wheat increased net income by 33.3% versus fallow–wheat in normal years.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
S–W systeme1
Outcome
net incomee1
Direction
increasede1
Value
33.3%e1
Qualifier
normale1
Comparator
F–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to F–W, the S–W system net income increased by 30.5%, 33.3%, and 36.3%, respectively, under dry, normal, and wet years”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1458–1585 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Soybean–winter wheat increased net income by 36.3% versus fallow–wheat in wet years.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Treatment
S–W systeme1
Outcome
net incomee1
Direction
increasede1
Value
36.3%e1
Qualifier
wet yearse1
Comparator
F–We1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“Compared to F–W, the S–W system net income increased by 30.5%, 33.3%, and 36.3%, respectively, under dry, normal, and wet years”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1458–1585 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivebasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors considered soybean–winter wheat more suitable for local wheat production under future climate change.

Taxon
winter wheatTriticum aestivume0
Outcome
more suitable for local farmers to wheat productione1
Qualifier
under future climate change on the Loess Plateaue1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“winter wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 41–77 · show in text ↑
e1

“the S–W system is more suitable for local farmers to wheat production under future climate change on the Loess Plateau”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1632–1750 · show in text ↑

rainfall · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Results differ

81 papers: 32 positive, 49 negative or no effect

31 papers in the same direction as this paper · 48 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. negative

77 papers more in this group

See all 81 papers →

rotation · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

345 papers: 253 positive, 92 negative or no effect

252 papers in the same direction as this paper · 83 in the opposite direction · 9 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. no effect
  3. negative

341 papers more in this group

See all 345 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.