Paper · 2025 · Plant Protection Science

Comparison of different modeling approaches to estimate cardinal temperatures for germination of Persicaria lapathifolia, Polygonum aviculare and Solanum nigrum

Donato Loddo; Stefano Carlesi; Nebojša Nikolić; et al.

11
claims
17
verbatim quotes
0
citations
3
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by-nc

Abstract

Emergence predictive models can facilitate weed management, but estimating cardinal temperatures for germination of target species is necessary. Germination tests at a range of alternating temperatures from 12.5/2.5 C to 35/25 C were conducted to estimate cardinal temperatures of Persicaria lapathifolia (L.) Delarbre, Polygonum aviculare L. and Solanum nigrum L. Two statistical methodologies were tested: the Thermal time-to-event model (TTEM) and the Threshold limit model (TL). Germination of P. aviculare was maximum at low-mid temperatures, where its optimal range probably lies, and decreased at high temperatures. No differences were observed between the base (Tb) values estimated for this species with the two models (TTEM 3.5 C, TL 4.1 C), while a significantly higher ceiling (Tc) value was determined with TTEM (TTEM 41.5 C, TL 33.6 C). The Germination of P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum increased monotonically with the rise in temperature, indicating that their optimal temperature lies above the highest tested temperature. TTEM could not be applied to these species since it requires data from the supra-optimal thermal range. TL models could instead estimate Tb values (9.4 C and 15.4 C for P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum), while the lack of data in the supra-optimal thermal range impeded the estimation of Tc.

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Claims 11

Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

P. aviculare germination peaked at low to mid temperatures and fell at high temperatures.

Taxon
P. avicularePolygonum avicularee0
Outcome
Germination of P. avicularee0
Direction
decreasede0
Qualifier
at high temperaturese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Polygonum aviculare
Polygonum aviculare · TaxonDalgial · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Germination of P. aviculare was maximum at low-mid temperatures, where its optimal range probably lies, and decreased at high temperatures.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 483–622 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The estimated base temperature for P. aviculare did not differ between TTEM and TL, with estimates of 3.5 C and 4.1 C.

Taxon
Polygonum avicularePolygonum avicularet0
Outcome
base (Tb) valuese0
Direction
No differencese0
Value
3.5 Ce0
Qualifier
TL 4.1 Ce0
Comparator
TLe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Polygonum aviculare
Polygonum aviculare · TaxonDalgial · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“No differences were observed between the base (Tb) values estimated for this species with the two models (TTEM 3.5 C, TL 4.1 C)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 623–750 · show in text ↑
t0

“Polygonum aviculare”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 122–141 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

TTEM estimated a significantly higher P. aviculare ceiling temperature than TL: 41.5 C versus 33.6 C.

Taxon
Polygonum avicularePolygonum avicularet0
Outcome
ceiling (Tc) valuee0
Direction
highere0
Value
41.5 Ce0
Qualifier
TL 33.6 Ce0
Comparator
TLe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Polygonum aviculare
Polygonum aviculare · TaxonDalgial · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“a significantly higher ceiling (Tc) value was determined with TTEM (TTEM 41.5 C, TL 33.6 C)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 758–849 · show in text ↑
t0

“Polygonum aviculare”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 122–141 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

P. lapathifolia germination increased with temperature; its optimum lay above the tested range.

Taxon
P. lapathifoliaPersicaria lapathifoliae0
Outcome
Germination of P. lapathifoliae0
Direction
increasede0
Qualifier
above the highest tested temperaturee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Persicaria lapathifolia
Persicaria lapathifolia · TaxonHardyplants at English Wikipedia · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Germination of P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum increased monotonically with the rise in temperature, indicating that their optimal temperature lies above the highest tested temperature.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 851–1038 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

S. nigrum germination increased with temperature; its optimum lay above the tested range.

Taxon
S. nigrumSolanum nigrume0
Outcome
Germination of P. lapathifolia and S. nigrume0
Direction
increasede0
Qualifier
above the highest tested temperaturee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum nigrum
Solanum nigrum · TaxonHladac · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Germination of P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum increased monotonically with the rise in temperature, indicating that their optimal temperature lies above the highest tested temperature.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 851–1038 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

TTEM could not be applied to P. lapathifolia because supra-optimal data were unavailable.

Taxon
Persicaria lapathifoliaPersicaria lapathifoliat0
Outcome
TTEM could not be appliede0
Value
supra-optimal thermal rangee0
Qualifier
requires data from the supra-optimal thermal rangee0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Persicaria lapathifolia
Persicaria lapathifolia · TaxonHardyplants at English Wikipedia · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“TTEM could not be applied to these species since it requires data from the supra-optimal thermal range.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1039–1142 · show in text ↑
t0

“Persicaria lapathifolia”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–120 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

TTEM could not be applied to S. nigrum because supra-optimal data were unavailable.

Taxon
Solanum nigrumSolanum nigrumt0
Outcome
TTEM could not be appliede0
Value
supra-optimal thermal rangee0
Qualifier
requires data from the supra-optimal thermal rangee0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum nigrum
Solanum nigrum · TaxonHladac · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“TTEM could not be applied to these species since it requires data from the supra-optimal thermal range.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1039–1142 · show in text ↑
t0

“Solanum nigrum”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 146–160 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

TL estimated the base temperature of P. lapathifolia at 9.4 C.

Taxon
P. lapathifoliaPersicaria lapathifoliae0
Outcome
Tb valuese0
Value
9.4 Ce0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Persicaria lapathifolia
Persicaria lapathifolia · TaxonHardyplants at English Wikipedia · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“TL models could instead estimate Tb values (9.4 C and 15.4 C for P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1143–1238 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

TL estimated the base temperature of S. nigrum at 15.4 C.

Taxon
S. nigrumSolanum nigrume0
Outcome
Tb valuese0
Value
15.4 Ce0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum nigrum
Solanum nigrum · TaxonHladac · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“TL models could instead estimate Tb values (9.4 C and 15.4 C for P. lapathifolia and S. nigrum)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1143–1238 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Lack of supra-optimal data prevented ceiling-temperature estimation for P. lapathifolia.

Taxon
Persicaria lapathifoliaPersicaria lapathifoliat0
Outcome
impeded the estimation of Tce0
Value
Tce0
Qualifier
lack of data in the supra-optimal thermal rangee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Persicaria lapathifolia
Persicaria lapathifolia · TaxonHardyplants at English Wikipedia · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the lack of data in the supra-optimal thermal range impeded the estimation of Tc.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1246–1327 · show in text ↑
t0

“Persicaria lapathifolia”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–120 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Lack of supra-optimal data prevented ceiling-temperature estimation for S. nigrum.

Taxon
Solanum nigrumSolanum nigrumt0
Outcome
impeded the estimation of Tce0
Value
Tce0
Qualifier
lack of data in the supra-optimal thermal rangee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum nigrum
Solanum nigrum · TaxonHladac · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the lack of data in the supra-optimal thermal range impeded the estimation of Tc.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1246–1327 · show in text ↑
t0

“Solanum nigrum”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 146–160 · show in text ↑