Paper · 2026 · JIRCAS Working Report

Working Report on the Landscape-Scale Analysis of Carbon Sequestration Potential in the Merlimau Mangrove Forest, Malaysia

Mohd. Safwan Azman; Sahadev Sharma; Rempei Suwa; et al.

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Open access · cc-by-nc-nd

Abstract

This study was conducted for the JIRCAS Working Report and is based primarily on Azman et al. (2025).The global reduction of mangrove forests, due primarily to changes in land use, contributes to carbon emissions worldwide.However, the specific impact of mangrove deforestation on carbon release remains uncertain.Only a limited number of studies have quantified the effects of mangrove deforestation on the carbon budget, particularly at the landscape scale.This study evaluates carbon stocks, losses, and emissions resulting from the conversion of mangrove ecosystems and assesses how these changes affect the carbon budget using sequestration rates for the Merlimau-Kuala Sebatu landscape.Field surveys were conducted across various mangrove types, including intact forests and naturally regenerated areas of different ages.The results indicate that the total ecosystem carbon stock in clear-cut sites was 149.06 7.56 Mg C ha -1 , compared to 280.65 16.92 Mg C ha -1 in intact sites; however, this difference was not statistically significant (p > 0.05).Using the stockchange method, carbon emissions were estimated to be 482.93Mg CO2e ha -1 , among the lowest recorded for tropical land-use change.Notably, the carbon budget at the landscape scale remained positive, with a net gain of 2835 Mg C yr -1 , largely due to the carbon sink potential and the expansion of naturally regenerated mangroves in intact areas (796 Mg C yr -1 ).A deforestation threshold of 75% was identified, beyond which the carbon budget approaches neutrality.These results highlight the importance of conserving intact mangrove forests and sustainably managing regenerated areas, as younger mangroves help sequester carbon and reduce emissions from deforestation.

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Claims 6

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultno effectnot significant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Total ecosystem carbon stock in clear-cut mangrove sites was 149.06 7.56 Mg C ha -1 versus 280.65 16.92 in intact sites, a difference that was not statistically significant.

Taxon
mangrovet0
Treatment
clear-cut sitese0
Outcome
total ecosystem carbon stocke0
Direction
lowerinferrede0
Value
149.06 7.56 Mg C ha -1e0
Qualifier
280.65 16.92 Mg C ha -1e0
Comparator
intact sitese0

Verbatim

t0

“Mangrove Forest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–112 · show in text ↑
e0

“the total ecosystem carbon stock in clear-cut sites was 149.06 7.56 Mg C ha -1 , compared to 280.65 16.92 Mg C ha -1 in intact sites; however, this difference was not statistically significant (p > 0.05)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 853–1056 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Using the stock-change method, carbon emissions from mangrove conversion were estimated at 482.93 Mg CO2e ha -1, among the lowest recorded for tropical land-use change.

Taxon
mangrovet0
Outcome
carbon emissionse0
Value
482.93Mg CO2e ha -1e0
Qualifier
among the lowest recorded for tropical land-use changee0

Verbatim

t0

“Mangrove Forest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–112 · show in text ↑
e0

“Using the stockchange method, carbon emissions were estimated to be 482.93Mg CO2e ha -1 , among the lowest recorded for tropical land-use change”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1057–1201 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The landscape-scale carbon budget remained positive, with a net gain of 2835 Mg C yr -1.

Taxon
mangrovet0
Outcome
carbon budget at the landscape scalee0
Value
2835 Mg C yr -1e0

Verbatim

t0

“Mangrove Forest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–112 · show in text ↑
e0

“the carbon budget at the landscape scale remained positive, with a net gain of 2835 Mg C yr -1”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1211–1305 · show in text ↑
Mechanismauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The positive landscape carbon budget is attributed largely to the carbon sink potential and the expansion of naturally regenerated mangroves in intact areas (796 Mg C yr -1).

Taxon
mangrovet0
Outcome
carbon sink potentiale0
Value
796 Mg C yr -1e0
Qualifier
expansion of naturally regenerated mangroves in intact arease0

Verbatim

t0

“Mangrove Forest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–112 · show in text ↑
e0

“largely due to the carbon sink potential and the expansion of naturally regenerated mangroves in intact areas (796 Mg C yr -1)”

✓ located after whitespace/quote normalisation · abstract, characters 1308–1435 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

A deforestation threshold of 75% was identified, beyond which the carbon budget approaches neutrality.

Taxon
mangrovet0
Treatment
deforestatione0
Outcome
carbon budgete0
Value
75%e0

Verbatim

t0

“Mangrove Forest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 97–112 · show in text ↑
e0

“A deforestation threshold of 75% was identified, beyond which the carbon budget approaches neutrality”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1436–1537 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivebasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors conclude that conserving intact mangrove forests and sustainably managing regenerated areas is important.

Taxon
mangrovee0
Outcome
conserving intact mangrove forests and sustainably managing regenerated arease0

Verbatim

e0

“the importance of conserving intact mangrove forests and sustainably managing regenerated areas”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1562–1657 · show in text ↑