Paper · 2026 · G3 Genes Genomes Genetics

Genomic selection validated across two generations of loblolly pine breeding

Fikret Isik; Mohammad Nasir Shalizi; Trevor D Walker

8
claims
16
verbatim quotes
1
citations
4
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by

Abstract

This study evaluated the effectiveness of genomic selection (GS) in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda) using a two-generation closed breeding population and a genetically diverse and a large Mainline population. Single-step genomic best linear unbiased prediction (ssGBLUP) models were used to include all phenotypic, genotypic, and pedigree information. Prediction accuracies of genomic estimated breeding values reached up to 0.70 for stem volume and stem straightness. Prediction accuracy showed a strong linear relationship with mean relatedness between training and validation populations (r > 0.92). Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices improved model stability, increased prediction accuracy, and reduced bias in genomic estimated breeding values. Estimates of heritability and variance components from ssGBLUP were consistent with pedigree-based models, particularly when genomic relationships were properly scaled. Genomic selection had approximately 50% more genetic gain per year relative to conventional selection. Overall, these results demonstrate that GS can be effectively integrated into operational Pinus taeda breeding programs, given sustained investment in large, well-connected training populations with high-quality phenotypic data. We also outline the planned implementation of GS in the North Carolina State University Cooperative Tree Improvement Program to increase genetic gain.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 8

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Prediction accuracies of genomic estimated breeding values reached up to 0.70 for stem volume and stem straightness.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Outcome
Prediction accuracies of genomic estimated breeding valuese1
Value
up to 0.70e1
Qualifier
stem volume and stem straightnesse1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e1

“Prediction accuracies of genomic estimated breeding values reached up to 0.70 for stem volume and stem straightness”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 348–463 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Prediction accuracy increased with the mean relatedness between training and validation populations (r > 0.92).

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Treatment
mean relatedness between training and validation populationse2
Outcome
Prediction accuracye2
Direction
increaseinferrede2
Value
r > 0.92e2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e2

“Prediction accuracy showed a strong linear relationship with mean relatedness between training and validation populations (r > 0.92)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 465–597 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices increased prediction accuracy.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Treatment
Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matricese3
Outcome
prediction accuracye3
Direction
increasede3

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e3

“Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices improved model stability, increased prediction accuracy, and reduced bias in genomic estimated breeding values”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 599–764 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices reduced bias in genomic estimated breeding values.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Treatment
Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matricese3
Outcome
bias in genomic estimated breeding valuese3
Direction
reducede3

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e3

“Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices improved model stability, increased prediction accuracy, and reduced bias in genomic estimated breeding values”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 599–764 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices improved model stability.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Treatment
Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matricese3
Outcome
model stabilitye3
Direction
improvede3

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e3

“Scaling the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices improved model stability, increased prediction accuracy, and reduced bias in genomic estimated breeding values”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 599–764 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Heritability and variance component estimates from ssGBLUP were consistent with pedigree-based models, particularly when genomic relationships were scaled.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Outcome
Estimates of heritability and variance componentse4
Qualifier
particularly when genomic relationships were properly scalede4
Comparator
pedigree-based modelse4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e4

“Estimates of heritability and variance components from ssGBLUP were consistent with pedigree-based models, particularly when genomic relationships were properly scaled”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 766–933 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Genomic selection gave approximately 50% more genetic gain per year than conventional selection.

Taxon
loblolly pinePinus taedae0
Treatment
Genomic selectione5
Outcome
genetic gain per yeare5
Direction
moree5
Value
approximately 50%e5
Comparator
conventional selectione5

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e5

“Genomic selection had approximately 50% more genetic gain per year relative to conventional selection”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 935–1036 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Genomic selection can be effectively integrated into operational Pinus taeda breeding programs given sustained investment in training populations.

Taxon
Pinus taedaPinus taedae6
Outcome
effectively integrated into operational Pinus taeda breeding programse6
Qualifier
given sustained investment in large, well-connected training populationse6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus taeda
Pinus taeda · TaxonWoodlot · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“in loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 65–95 · show in text ↑
e6

“GS can be effectively integrated into operational Pinus taeda breeding programs, given sustained investment in large, well-connected training populations with high-quality phenotypic data”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1078–1265 · show in text ↑