Paper · 2026 · Earth s Future

Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Salt Marsh Vegetation Communities in Response to Soil Moisture and Salinity Fluctuations: A Coupled Modeling Approach

Jie Song; Yujun Yi

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claims
12
verbatim quotes
0
citations
2
research areas
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Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Abstract The complex interplay between soil moisture and salinity governs vegetation dynamics in estuarine salt marshes, yet a quantitative understanding of these relationships remains limited. This study introduces an integrated modeling framework coupling water‐salt transport with a spatially explicit vegetation model to investigate community responses to hydrological fluctuations in a typical estuary salt marsh in China. The model simulates spatial patterns, biomass dynamics, and interspecific competition for four dominant species from 2013 to 2021. In response to soil moisture and salinity fluctuations driven by interannual variations in Yellow River discharge, the results revealed distinct species‐specific responses. Phragmites australis exhibited a biomass decline (from 8.951 to 8.182 × 10 7 kg) with a stable distribution, indicating physiological stress. Tamarix chinensis maintained a stable biomass (about 1.94 × 10 7 kg) despite a shrinking distribution, suggesting concentration into optimal microsites. Suaeda salsa showed resilience, with its biomass fluctuating before recovering to 11.802 × 10 7 kg in 2021. The invasive Spartina alterniflora demonstrated a biomass increase (from 9.682 to 10.139 × 10 7 kg) even as its range contracted post‐2018, likely due to increased density in remaining patches. The model identified a community shift from stability (2013–2017) to restructuring (2018–2021), driven by increased freshwater input. Across all species, biomass changes preceded distributional shifts, highlighting biomass as a more sensitive indicator of environmental stress. These findings suggest that moderate freshwater inputs can enhance native species' competitiveness and provide quantitative insights for managing salt marsh ecosystems under changing hydrological regimes.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 10

Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Phragmites australis biomass declined from 8.951 to 8.182 × 10 7 kg in the simulation.

Taxon
Phragmites australisPhragmites australise0
Outcome
biomasse0
Direction
declinee0
Value
from 8.951 to 8.182 × 10 7 kge0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phragmites australis
Phragmites australis · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Phragmites australis exhibited a biomass decline (from 8.951 to 8.182 × 10 7 kg) with a stable distribution, indicating physiological stress”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 732–872 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultno effectsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Phragmites australis kept a stable distribution in the simulation.

Taxon
Phragmites australisPhragmites australise0
Outcome
distributione0
Direction
stablee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phragmites australis
Phragmites australis · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Phragmites australis exhibited a biomass decline (from 8.951 to 8.182 × 10 7 kg) with a stable distribution, indicating physiological stress”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 732–872 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultno effectsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Tamarix chinensis maintained a stable biomass of about 1.94 × 10 7 kg in the simulation.

Taxon
Tamarix chinensisTamarix chinensise1
Outcome
biomasse1
Value
about 1.94 × 10 7 kge1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Tamarix chinensis
Tamarix chinensis · TaxonDalgial · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“Tamarix chinensis maintained a stable biomass (about 1.94 × 10 7 kg) despite a shrinking distribution, suggesting concentration into optimal microsites”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 874–1025 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Tamarix chinensis had a shrinking distribution in the simulation.

Taxon
Tamarix chinensisTamarix chinensise1
Outcome
distributione1
Direction
shrinkinge1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Tamarix chinensis
Tamarix chinensis · TaxonDalgial · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“Tamarix chinensis maintained a stable biomass (about 1.94 × 10 7 kg) despite a shrinking distribution, suggesting concentration into optimal microsites”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 874–1025 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Suaeda salsa biomass recovered to 11.802 × 10 7 kg in 2021 after fluctuating.

Taxon
Suaeda salsaSuaeda salsae2
Outcome
biomasse2
Direction
recoveringe2
Value
11.802 × 10 7 kge2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Suaeda salsa
Suaeda salsa · TaxonYurii Basov · CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“Suaeda salsa showed resilience, with its biomass fluctuating before recovering to 11.802 × 10 7 kg in 2021”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1027–1133 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Spartina alterniflora biomass increased from 9.682 to 10.139 × 10 7 kg in the simulation.

Taxon
Spartina alternifloraSporobolus alternifloruse3
Outcome
biomasse3
Direction
increasee3
Value
from 9.682 to 10.139 × 10 7 kge3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Sporobolus alterniflorus
Sporobolus alterniflorus · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e3

“The invasive Spartina alterniflora demonstrated a biomass increase (from 9.682 to 10.139 × 10 7 kg) even as its range contracted post‐2018”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1135–1273 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Spartina alterniflora range contracted after 2018.

Taxon
Spartina alternifloraSporobolus alternifloruse3
Outcome
rangee3
Direction
contractede3
Qualifier
post‐2018e3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Sporobolus alterniflorus
Sporobolus alterniflorus · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e3

“The invasive Spartina alterniflora demonstrated a biomass increase (from 9.682 to 10.139 × 10 7 kg) even as its range contracted post‐2018”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1135–1273 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The salt marsh vegetation community shifted from stability to restructuring, driven by increased freshwater input.

Taxon
Salt Marsh Vegetationt0
Treatment
increased freshwater inpute5
Outcome
community shifte5

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

t0

“Salt Marsh Vegetation Communities”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 27–60 · show in text ↑
e5

“The model identified a community shift from stability (2013–2017) to restructuring (2018–2021), driven by increased freshwater input”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1329–1461 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Biomass changes preceded distributional shifts across all salt marsh species.

Taxon
Salt Marsh Vegetationt0
Outcome
biomass changese4
Direction
precedede4
Comparator
distributional shiftse4

Verbatim

t0

“Salt Marsh Vegetation Communities”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 27–60 · show in text ↑
e4

“Across all species, biomass changes preceded distributional shifts, highlighting biomass as a more sensitive indicator of environmental stress”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1463–1605 · show in text ↑
Associationauthor interpretationoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Moderate freshwater inputs may enhance the competitiveness of native species.

Taxon
native speciese6
Treatment
moderate freshwater inputse6
Outcome
competitivenesse6
Direction
enhancee6

Verbatim

e6

“moderate freshwater inputs can enhance native species' competitiveness”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1635–1705 · show in text ↑