Claim · model-written summary
The authors recommend local studies of uncertainty in future wheat yield predictions.
- Taxon
- winter wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Outcome
- local-scale studies should be performede0
Not reportedMaterialGeneCompoundOrgan / stageInteractorInteractor roleSecond interactorSecond interactor roleTreatmentComparatorSettingDirectionValueQualifier
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“local-scale studies should be performed to evaluate uncertainties in yield prediction related to future weather patterns”
t0“winter wheat”
Title
Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain
Thibaut Putelat; Andrew P. Whitmore; Nimai Senapati; et al. Royal Society Open Science 2021. doi:10.1098/rsos.201669
Other claims from this paper (5)
- Mechanism Earlier development lets crops escape increased drought and heat impacts on yield.
- Observation Future growing-season water stress losses remain near 20% of potential yield.
- Observation Future drought losses around flowering decrease to about 9% of water-limited yield.
- Observation Future heat-stress losses around flowering remain negligible.
- Observation The model predicts substantial interannual variation between locations, sometimes implying low yield stability.