Paper · 2015 · Agronomy Journal

Risk Effects on Optimal Nitrogen Rates for Corn Rotations in Tennessee

Christopher N. Boyer; Roland K. Roberts; James A. Larson; et al.

10
claims
12
verbatim quotes
11
citations
1
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

The objectives of this study were to determine the effects of risk exposure on optimal N fertilizer rates for continuous corn ( Zea mays L.), corn grown after cotton ( Gossypium ssp.), and corn grown after soybean [ Glycine max (L.) Merr.] and identify the optimal corn rotation for risk‐averse corn producers. Data were collected from a 7‐yr, corn‐rotation, N‐fertilizer experiment in Tennessee. Partial budgets were used to calculate net returns to N for corn grown after corn, corn grown after cotton, and corn grown after soybean. The flexible moment method was used for risk analysis, a unique application of this method that provides producers with information concerning traditional risk effects on decisions about crop rotations and N rates augmented by the effects of downside risk. Results from this study show rotating corn with cotton and soybean increased yields and net returns relative to continuous corn, but profit‐maximizing N rates for corn were not greatly impacted by the crop planted in the previous year. Optimal N rates decreased for producers with more risk aversion, indicating that N fertilizer is a risk‐increasing input. Downside risk was found for continuous corn and corn grown after soybean, increasing the risk premiums for these rotations above the risk premium for corn grown after cotton. Slightly to moderately risk‐averse corn producers would prefer growing corn after soybean, but highly risk‐averse producers would prefer rotating corn with cotton. Results provide corn producers with enhanced information about the effects of risk exposure on choices among corn rotations and N fertilizer rates.

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Claims 10

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Corn rotated with cotton increased yields relative to continuous corn.

Treatment
rotating corn with cottone0
Outcome
yieldse0
Direction
increasede0
Comparator
continuous corne0
Setting
Tennesseet0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Results from this study show rotating corn with cotton and soybean increased yields and net returns relative to continuous corn”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 792–919 · show in text ↑
t0

“Tennessee”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 61–70 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Corn rotated with soybean increased yields relative to continuous corn.

Treatment
rotating corn with cotton and soybeane0
Outcome
yieldse0
Direction
increasede0
Comparator
continuous corne0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Results from this study show rotating corn with cotton and soybean increased yields and net returns relative to continuous corn”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 792–919 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Corn rotated with cotton increased net returns relative to continuous corn.

Treatment
rotating corn with cottone0
Outcome
net returnse0
Direction
increasede0
Comparator
continuous corne0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Results from this study show rotating corn with cotton and soybean increased yields and net returns relative to continuous corn”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 792–919 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Corn rotated with soybean increased net returns relative to continuous corn.

Treatment
rotating corn with cotton and soybeane0
Outcome
net returnse0
Direction
increasede0
Comparator
continuous corne0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Results from this study show rotating corn with cotton and soybean increased yields and net returns relative to continuous corn”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 792–919 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The previous crop had little impact on profit-maximizing N rates for corn.

Treatment
crop planted in the previous yeare0
Outcome
profit‐maximizing N ratese0
Direction
not greatly impactede0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“profit‐maximizing N rates for corn were not greatly impacted by the crop planted in the previous year.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 925–1027 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Optimal corn N rates decreased with greater producer risk aversion.

Treatment
N fertilizere0
Outcome
Optimal N ratese0
Direction
decreasede0
Qualifier
producers with more risk aversione0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Optimal N rates decreased for producers with more risk aversion, indicating that N fertilizer is a risk‐increasing input.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1028–1149 · show in text ↑
t0

“Corn”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 43–47 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Continuous corn had downside risk that raised its risk premium above corn after cotton.

Treatment
continuous corne0
Outcome
risk premiumse0
Direction
increasinge0
Comparator
corn grown after cottone0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Downside risk was found for continuous corn and corn grown after soybean, increasing the risk premiums for these rotations above the risk premium for corn grown after cotton.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1150–1324 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Corn grown after soybean had downside risk that raised its risk premium above corn after cotton.

Treatment
corn grown after soybeane0
Outcome
risk premiumse0
Direction
increasinge0
Comparator
corn grown after cottone0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Downside risk was found for continuous corn and corn grown after soybean, increasing the risk premiums for these rotations above the risk premium for corn grown after cotton.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1150–1324 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Slightly to moderately risk-averse producers would prefer corn after soybean.

Outcome
growing corn after soybeane0
Qualifier
Slightly to moderately risk‐aversee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Slightly to moderately risk‐averse corn producers would prefer growing corn after soybean, but highly risk‐averse producers would prefer rotating corn with cotton.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1325–1488 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Highly risk-averse producers would prefer rotating corn with cotton.

Outcome
rotating corn with cottone0
Qualifier
highly risk‐aversee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Slightly to moderately risk‐averse corn producers would prefer growing corn after soybean, but highly risk‐averse producers would prefer rotating corn with cotton.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1325–1488 · show in text ↑

Zea mays subsp. mays · yield · Zea mays (maize)Results differ

292 papers: 196 positive, 96 negative or no effect

195 papers in the same direction as this paper · 85 in the opposite direction · 11 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

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Gossypium hirsutum · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

17 papers: 14 positive, 3 negative or no effect

13 papers in the same direction as this paper · 3 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. no effect
  3. no effect

13 papers more in this group

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Glycine max · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

180 papers: 155 positive, 25 negative or no effect

154 papers in the same direction as this paper · 18 in the opposite direction · 7 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

176 papers more in this group

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.