Paper · 1994 · Plant Cell & Environment

Modelling forest response to increasing CO2concentration under nutrient‐limited conditions

M. U. F. KIRSCHBAUM; D. A. KING; H. N. COMINS; et al.

10
claims
18
verbatim quotes
123
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access · other-oa

Abstract

ABSTRACT The growth rates of woody plants depend on both the rate of photosynthetic carbon gain and the availability of essential nutrients. Instantaneous carbon gain is known to increase in response to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration, but it is uncertain whether this will translate into increased growth in the longer term under nutrient‐limited conditions. An analytical model to address this question was developed by Comins & McMurtrie (1993, Ecological Applications 3, 666–681). Their model was further tested and analysed. Manipulation of various assumptions in the model revealed its key assumptions and allowed a more confident prediction of expected growth responses to CO 2 enrichment under nutrient‐limited conditions. The analysis indicated that conclusions about the CO 2 sensitivity of production were strongly influenced by assumptions about the relationship between foliar and heartwood nitrogen concentrations. With heartwood nitrogen concentration proportional to foliar nitrogen concentration, the model predicted a strong response of plant productivity to increasing CO 2 concentration, whereas with heartwood nitrogen concentration set constant, the model predicted only a very slight growth response to changing CO 2 concentration. On the other hand, predictions were only slightly affected by: (1) assumptions about the extent of nitrogen retranslocation out of senescing roots and foliage or wood during heartwood formation; (2) the effects of nitrogen status on specific leaf area or (3) leaf longevity; (4) carbon allocation between different plant parts; or (5) changes in the N:C ratio of organic matter sequestered in the passive pool of soil organic matter. Modification of the effect of foliar nitrogen concentration on the light utilization coefficient had only a small effect on the CO 2 sensitivity for pines. However, this conclusion was strongly dependent on the chosen relationship between single‐leaf photosynthesis and leaf nitrogen concentration. Overall, the analysis suggested that trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions can respond to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration with considerable increases in growth.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 10

Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predicted CO2 sensitivity of production depended strongly on the assumed relationship between foliar and heartwood nitrogen.

Taxon
treese1
Organ / stage
foliar and heartwoode0
Compound
nitrogene0
Outcome
CO 2 sensitivity of productione0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“conclusions about the CO 2 sensitivity of production were strongly influenced by assumptions about the relationship between foliar and heartwood nitrogen concentrations”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 769–937 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

With proportional heartwood and foliar nitrogen, increasing CO2 strongly increased predicted productivity.

Taxon
treese1
Treatment
increasing CO 2 concentratione0
Outcome
plant productivitye0
Qualifier
heartwood nitrogen concentration proportional to foliar nitrogen concentratione0

Not reportedComparatorDirection

Verbatim

e0

“With heartwood nitrogen concentration proportional to foliar nitrogen concentration, the model predicted a strong response of plant productivity to increasing CO 2 concentration”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 939–1116 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

With constant heartwood nitrogen, changing CO2 produced only a slight predicted growth response.

Taxon
treese1
Treatment
changing CO 2 concentratione0
Outcome
growth responsee0
Qualifier
heartwood nitrogen concentration set constante0

Not reportedComparatorDirection

Verbatim

e0

“with heartwood nitrogen concentration set constant, the model predicted only a very slight growth response to changing CO 2 concentration”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1126–1263 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predictions were only slightly affected by assumptions about nitrogen retranslocation.

Taxon
treese1
Organ / stage
senescing roots and foliage or woode0
Outcome
predictionse0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“predictions were only slightly affected by: (1) assumptions about the extent of nitrogen retranslocation out of senescing roots and foliage or wood during heartwood formation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1284–1458 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predictions were only slightly affected by assumed nitrogen effects on specific leaf area and leaf longevity.

Taxon
treese1
Compound
nitrogene0
Outcome
specific leaf area or (3) leaf longevitye0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“(2) the effects of nitrogen status on specific leaf area or (3) leaf longevity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1460–1538 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predictions were only slightly affected by carbon allocation among plant parts.

Taxon
treese1
Organ / stage
plant partse0
Outcome
carbon allocation between different plant partse0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“(4) carbon allocation between different plant parts”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1540–1591 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Predictions were only slightly affected by changes in the N:C ratio of passive soil organic matter.

Taxon
treese1
Outcome
N:C ratio of organic mattere0
Setting
soil organic mattere0

Not reportedDirection

Verbatim

e0

“(5) changes in the N:C ratio of organic matter sequestered in the passive pool of soil organic matter”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1596–1697 · show in text ↑
e1

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2082 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Changing the foliar nitrogen effect on light utilization had only a small effect on pine CO2 sensitivity.

Taxon
pinesPinuse0
Organ / stage
foliare0
Compound
nitrogene0
Outcome
CO 2 sensitivitye0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus
Pinus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Forest Service Northern Region from Missoula, MT, USA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Modification of the effect of foliar nitrogen concentration on the light utilization coefficient had only a small effect on the CO 2 sensitivity for pines”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1699–1853 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The pine prediction depended strongly on the assumed relationship between leaf photosynthesis and leaf nitrogen.

Taxon
pinesPinuse1
Organ / stage
single‐leafe0
Compound
nitrogene0
Outcome
this conclusione0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Pinus
Pinus · Taxon · picture of the genus (one of its species)Forest Service Northern Region from Missoula, MT, USA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“this conclusion was strongly dependent on the chosen relationship between single‐leaf photosynthesis and leaf nitrogen concentration”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1864–1996 · show in text ↑
e1

“CO 2 sensitivity for pines”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1827–1853 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The analysis suggested substantial growth increases in nitrogen limited trees under rising atmospheric CO2.

Taxon
treese0
Treatment
increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentratione0
Outcome
growthe0
Direction
increasese0
Qualifier
nitrogen‐limited conditionse0

Not reportedComparator

Verbatim

e0

“trees growing under nitrogen‐limited conditions can respond to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration with considerable increases in growth”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2035–2177 · show in text ↑

co2 · yield · PinusPositive and negative results

4 papers: 3 positive, 1 negative or no effect

2 papers in the same direction as this paper · 1 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. positive
  3. positive
See all 4 papers →

co2 · growth · PinusPositive and negative results

11 papers: 7 positive, 4 negative or no effect

6 papers in the same direction as this paper · 4 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. no effect
  3. no effect

7 papers more in this group

See all 11 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.