Paper · 2002 · Journal of Sustainable Agriculture

Long-Term Environmental and Economic Simulation of Alternative Cropping Systems in Maryland

K. Bradley Watkins; Yao-Chi Lu; John R. Teasdale

7
claims
12
verbatim quotes
9
citations
1
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

ABSTRACT No-tillage systems are used to control soil erosion and water runoff on sloping cropland, but these systems, which rely heavily on herbicides and commercial fertilizers, may contribute to nutrient and herbicide contamination of water, air, and other ecosystems. This study simulated the long-term economic and environmental impacts of using alternative grain production systems for control of soil erosion and/or reducing chemical inputs. The EPIC (Environmental Policy Integrated Climate) biological process simulation model was used to simulate crop yields, soil erosion, herbicide losses, nitrogen and phosphorus losses, and economic returns for six cropping systems over a 60-year period. The simulation results indicated that average gross margins were highest for a cover crop-based, no-tillage system corn/soybean (Zea mays L./Glycine max L. Mer.) rotation with zero preplant fertilizer nitrogen inputs (US$322/ha), a no-tillage corn/soybean rotation with recommended inputs (US$314/ha), and a two-year organic corn/wheat (Triticum aestirum L.)/soybean rotation (US$301/ha). In term of simulated environmental impacts, the cover crop-based system with zero fertilizer nitrogen inputs produced less soil erosion, nitrogen loss, and herbicide loss than systems employing recommended inputs. The organic two-year rotation also produced lower nitrogen loss than either recommended system but produced the highest phosphorus loss and the second highest level of soil erosion.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 7

Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A cover crop-based no-tillage corn/soybean rotation with zero preplant nitrogen had the highest average gross margin of US$322/ha.

Treatment
zero preplant fertilizer nitrogen inputse0
Outcome
average gross marginse0
Direction
higheste0
Value
US$322/hae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“average gross margins were highest for a cover crop-based, no-tillage system corn/soybean (Zea mays L./Glycine max L. Mer.) rotation with zero preplant fertilizer nitrogen inputs (US$322/ha)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–930 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A no-tillage corn/soybean rotation with recommended inputs had a high average gross margin of US$314/ha.

Treatment
recommended inputse0
Outcome
gross marginse1
Value
US$314/hae0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“a no-tillage corn/soybean rotation with recommended inputs (US$314/ha)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 932–1002 · show in text ↑
e1

“average gross margins were highest”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–774 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A two-year organic corn/wheat/soybean rotation had a high average gross margin of US$301/ha.

Treatment
organice0
Value
US$301/hae0

Not reportedOutcome

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“a two-year organic corn/wheat (Triticum aestirum L.)/soybean rotation (US$301/ha)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1008–1089 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The zero-nitrogen cover crop system produced less soil erosion, nitrogen loss and herbicide loss than recommended-input systems.

Treatment
cover crop-based system with zero fertilizer nitrogen inputse0
Outcome
soil erosion, nitrogen loss, and herbicide losse0
Direction
lesse0
Comparator
systems employing recommended inputse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the cover crop-based system with zero fertilizer nitrogen inputs produced less soil erosion, nitrogen loss, and herbicide loss than systems employing recommended inputs”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1135–1303 · show in text ↑
e1

“no-tillage system corn/soybean (Zea mays L./Glycine max L. Mer.) rotation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 799–872 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The organic two-year rotation had lower nitrogen loss than either recommended system.

Treatment
organic two-year rotatione0
Outcome
nitrogen losse0
Direction
lowere0
Comparator
either recommended systeme0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The organic two-year rotation also produced lower nitrogen loss than either recommended system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1305–1399 · show in text ↑
e1

“organic corn/wheat (Triticum aestirum L.)/soybean rotation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1019–1077 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The organic two-year rotation produced the highest phosphorus loss.

Treatment
organic two-year rotatione0
Outcome
phosphorus losse0
Direction
higheste0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The organic two-year rotation also produced lower nitrogen loss than either recommended system but produced the highest phosphorus loss and the second highest level of soil erosion.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1305–1486 · show in text ↑
e1

“organic corn/wheat (Triticum aestirum L.)/soybean rotation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1019–1077 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The organic two-year rotation produced the second highest soil erosion.

Treatment
organic two-year rotatione0
Outcome
soil erosione0
Direction
second higheste0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays subsp. mays
Zea mays subsp. mays · TaxonDominicus Johannes Bergsma · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The organic two-year rotation also produced lower nitrogen loss than either recommended system but produced the highest phosphorus loss and the second highest level of soil erosion.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1305–1486 · show in text ↑
e1

“organic corn/wheat (Triticum aestirum L.)/soybean rotation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1019–1077 · show in text ↑

cover crop · soil: physics · Zea mays (maize)Results differ

18 papers: 11 positive, 7 negative or no effect

10 papers in the same direction as this paper · 7 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. no effect
  3. no effect

14 papers more in this group

See all 18 papers →

cover crop · soil: physics · Glycine max (soybean)Positive and negative results

7 papers: 5 positive, 2 negative or no effect

4 papers in the same direction as this paper · 2 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. no effect
  3. positive

3 papers more in this group

See all 7 papers →

nitrogen · soil: physics · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

17 papers: 13 positive, 4 negative or no effect

12 papers in the same direction as this paper · 3 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. no effect
  2. negative
  3. no effect

13 papers more in this group

See all 17 papers →

fertilization · soil: physics · Glycine max (soybean)Positive and negative results

19 papers: 17 positive, 2 negative or no effect

16 papers in the same direction as this paper · 2 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. negative
  3. positive

15 papers more in this group

See all 19 papers →

fertilization · soil: physics · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

93 papers: 83 positive, 10 negative or no effect

82 papers in the same direction as this paper · 9 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. no effect

89 papers more in this group

See all 93 papers →

nitrogen · soil: physics · Glycine max (soybean)Results agree

4 papers: 4 positive, 0 negative or no effect

3 papers in the same direction as this paper

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive
See all 4 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.