Paper · 2008 · BioScience

The 2007 Eastern US Spring Freeze: Increased Cold Damage in a Warming World?

Lianhong Gu; Paul J. Hanson; W. Mac Post; et al.

5
claims
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verbatim quotes
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citations
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research areas
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Open access

Abstract

Plant ecologists have long been concerned with a seemingly paradoxical scenario in the relationship between plant growth and climate change: warming may actually increase the risk of plant frost damage. The underlying hypothesis is that mild winters and warm, early springs, which are expected to occur as the climate warms, may induce premature plant development, resulting in exposure of vulnerable plant tissues and organs to subsequent late-season frosts. The 2007 spring freeze in the eastern United States provides an excellent opportunity to evaluate this hypothesis and assess its large-scale consequences. In this article, we contrast the rapid prefreeze phenological advancement caused by unusually warm conditions with the dramatic postfreeze setback, and report complicated patterns of freeze damage to plants. The widespread devastation of crops and natural vegetation occasioned by this event demonstrates the need to consider large fluctuations in spring temperatures a real threat to terrestrial ecosystem structure and functioning in a warming climate.

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Claims 5

Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Unusually warm conditions rapidly advanced plant phenology before the freeze.

Outcome
prefreeze phenological advancemente0
Direction
advancemente0
Qualifier
unusually warm conditionse0

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e0

“rapid prefreeze phenological advancement caused by unusually warm conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 648–724 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Plant phenology suffered a dramatic setback after the freeze.

Outcome
postfreeze setbacke0
Direction
setbacke0

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e0

“dramatic postfreeze setback”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 734–761 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The freeze produced complicated patterns of plant damage.

Taxon
plantsViridiplantaee0
Outcome
freeze damage to plantse0

Verbatim

e0

“complicated patterns of freeze damage to plants”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 774–821 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The event devastated crops and natural vegetation widely.

Taxon
crops and natural vegetatione0
Outcome
devastatione0
Direction
devastatione0

Verbatim

e0

“widespread devastation of crops and natural vegetation occasioned by this event”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 827–906 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors identify large fluctuations in spring temperatures as a threat to terrestrial ecosystems in a warming climate.

Outcome
consider large fluctuations in spring temperatures a real threat to terrestrial ecosystem structure and functioninge0

Not reportedTaxon

Verbatim

e0

“need to consider large fluctuations in spring temperatures a real threat to terrestrial ecosystem structure and functioning in a warming climate”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 924–1068 · show in text ↑