Paper · 2025 · Journal of Mountain Research

Modelling Adaptation Strategies to Mitigate Climate Change Impact in Wheat underMid-Hill Regions of Himachal Pradesh

Ranu Pathania; Saurav Sharma; Rajendra Prasad; et al.

10
claims
24
verbatim quotes
0
citations
1
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

A field study was carried out during Rabi season of 2015-16 and 2016-17 at Department of Agronomy, CSK HPKV, Palampur, Himachal Pradesh (India) to calibrate the DSSAT-CERES-wheat model for four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907) grown on five different sowing dates (viz., October 20, November 5, November 20, December 5 and December 20) in split plot design with three replications. The objective was to evaluate varietal response and sowing time as adaptive strategies to climate change, along with the effect of irrigation scheduling. Results revealed that delayed sowing either on 5th and 20th December proved a better adaptive strategy to climate change. Similarly, varieties VL-829 and VL-907 were more capable to eliminate the harmful impacts of climate change, compared to other two varieties. The simulation results also elucidated that increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to four nullified the impact of climate change and led to a yield increase ranging from 2.23% to 7.95% for various sowing dates and 4.02-5.00 % for varieties- One extra (total four) irrigation further amplified the positive impact of irrigation by increasing wheat yield by 4.93- 10.88% for sowing dates and 6.88- 7.84% for varieties. However, the positive impact of irrigation declined under projected climate scenarios for the 2050s and 2080s. Ultimately, delayed sowing either of VL-829 and VL-907 varieties up to December 20 and increase in number of irrigations from two (each at 35 and 75 DAS) to five (each at 30, 60, 90, 120 and 145 DAS) appeared as best adaptive strategies for wheat crop of this region. The DSSAT-CSM-CERES model (V4.6) fairly simulated the overall yield comprises of grain and biomass of selected wheat cultivars therefore, it can be well suited for crop yield simulations studies under different sowing environments.

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Claims 10

Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The DSSAT-CSM-CERES model fairly simulated the overall wheat yield (grain and biomass).

Outcome
overall yielde1
Qualifier
fairly simulatede1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“The DSSAT-CSM-CERES model (V4.6) fairly simulated the overall yield comprises of grain and biomass”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1632–1730 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Delayed sowing on 5 and 20 December was a better adaptive strategy to climate change.

Treatment
delayed sowinge1
Outcome
adaptive strategy to climate changee1
Direction
bettere1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“Results revealed that delayed sowing either on 5th and 20th December proved a better adaptive strategy to climate change”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 561–681 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Varieties VL-829 and VL-907 were more capable than the other two varieties to eliminate the harmful impacts of climate change.

Material
VL-829 and VL-907e2
Treatment
varieties VL-829 and VL-907e2
Outcome
harmful impacts of climate changee2
Direction
more capable to eliminatee2
Comparator
other two varietiese2

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e2

“varieties VL-829 and VL-907 were more capable to eliminate the harmful impacts of climate change, compared to other two varieties”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 694–823 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Increasing irrigations from one to four nullified the impact of climate change on wheat.

Treatment
increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to foure1
Outcome
impact of climate changee1
Direction
nullifiede1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to four nullified the impact of climate change”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 869–964 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Increasing irrigations from one to four gave a yield increase of 2.23% to 7.95% across sowing dates.

Material
various sowing datese2
Treatment
increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to foure1
Outcome
yielde2
Direction
increasee2
Value
2.23% to 7.95%e2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to four nullified the impact of climate change”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 869–964 · show in text ↑
e2

“led to a yield increase ranging from 2.23% to 7.95% for various sowing dates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 969–1045 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Increasing irrigations from one to four gave a yield increase of 4.02-5.00 % for varieties.

Material
varietiese3
Treatment
increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to foure1
Outcome
yielde2
Direction
increasee2
Value
4.02-5.00 %e3

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“increasing the frequency of irrigations from one to four nullified the impact of climate change”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 869–964 · show in text ↑
e2

“led to a yield increase ranging from 2.23% to 7.95% for various sowing dates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 969–1045 · show in text ↑
e3

“4.02-5.00 % for varieties”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1050–1075 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

One extra irrigation (total four) increased wheat yield by 4.93- 10.88% across sowing dates.

Material
sowing datese1
Treatment
One extra (total four) irrigatione1
Outcome
wheat yielde1
Direction
increasinge1
Value
4.93- 10.88%e1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“One extra (total four) irrigation further amplified the positive impact of irrigation by increasing wheat yield by 4.93- 10.88% for sowing dates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1077–1221 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

One extra irrigation (total four) increased wheat yield by 6.88- 7.84% across varieties.

Material
varietiese2
Treatment
One extra (total four) irrigatione1
Outcome
wheat yielde1
Direction
increasinge1
Value
6.88- 7.84%e2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“One extra (total four) irrigation further amplified the positive impact of irrigation by increasing wheat yield by 4.93- 10.88% for sowing dates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1077–1221 · show in text ↑
e2

“6.88- 7.84% for varieties”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1226–1251 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The positive impact of irrigation declined under projected climate scenarios for the 2050s and 2080s.

Treatment
projected climate scenarios for the 2050s and 2080se1
Outcome
the positive impact of irrigatione1
Direction
declinede1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“the positive impact of irrigation declined under projected climate scenarios for the 2050s and 2080s”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1262–1362 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors recommend delayed sowing of VL-829 and VL-907 up to 20 December with irrigations increased from two to five as best adaptive strategies for the region.

Treatment
delayed sowing either of VL-829 and VL-907 varieties up to December 20e1
Outcome
best adaptive strategies for wheat crop of this regione1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“four wheat varieties (viz., HS-490, VL-829, VL-892 and VL-907)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 189–251 · show in text ↑
e1

“delayed sowing either of VL-829 and VL-907 varieties up to December 20 and increase in number of irrigations from two (each at 35 and 75 DAS) to five (each at 30, 60, 90, 120 and 145 DAS) appeared as best adaptive strategies for wheat crop of this region”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1376–1630 · show in text ↑

irrigation · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

989 papers: 798 positive, 191 negative or no effect

797 papers in the same direction as this paper · 184 in the opposite direction · 7 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. no effect
  3. negative

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.