Paper · 2025 · Agricultural Systems

Modeling nitrogen dynamics across contrasting yield zones to close yield gaps in a commercial maize system

Arpita Sharma; Rishi Prasad; Anh T. Nguyen; et al.

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Open access · cc-by

Abstract

CONTEXT Improving nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) in maize systems demands a mechanistic understanding of how nitrogen (N) dynamics interact with climate variability, irrigation regimes, and within-field spatial heterogeneity. Yet, N fate pathways such as leaching, volatilization, and denitrification remain difficult to quantify across diverse zones of productivity under real-farm conditions. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to simulate the fate and flow of applied nitrogen across management zones with contrasting yield stability and water-holding capacity, using a process-based model under long-term weather and irrigation scenarios. METHODS The DSSAT CSM-CERES-Maize model was calibrated and evaluated using independent field datasets from two growing seasons across two management zones (MZs) delineated by yield stability. The calibrated model was assessed for LAI, soil moisture, yield, soil N, and N uptake. After model evaluation, simulations were conducted over 40 years (1984–2022) of weather data, categorized into drought, normal, and wet years using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and under three irrigation scenarios: rainfed, 50 %, and 30 % management allowable depletions (MAD). RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS Upon calibration, DSSAT CSM CERES Maize showed good agreement between observed and simulated values for crop growth, development, and soil water and N dynamics (NRMSE <15 %), supporting the use of the model for management zone-based N accounting. In 2022 high yield management zone (MZ1) exhibited higher N uptake (305 kg N ha −1 ) and greater N losses via leaching (16.1 kg N ha −1 ) and volatilization (33 kg N ha −1 ), while low yield management zone (MZ2) showed elevated residual nitrate at harvest (60 kg N ha −1 ) and higher denitrification (6.2 kg N ha −1 ), indicating lower NUE. The long-term simulations indicated that leaching peaked under wet years (up to 33.8 kg N ha −1 ), whereas drought years induced maximum volatilization (65.5 kg ha −1 ). MZ2 required 45 % more irrigation to match MZ1 yields, reflecting soil-based water limitations. Moderate MAD irrigation regimes (50 %) reduced total N losses without yield penalties. SIGNIFICANCE This study demonstrates that integrating spatial field variability with long-term climate and irrigation scenarios is critical for diagnosing N inefficiencies and optimizing N use. Mechanistic modeling provides a scalable decision-support tool to design adaptive nutrients and water management strategies tailored to heterogeneous production systems.

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Claims 11

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The calibrated maize model agreed with observed crop and soil measurements with NRMSE below 15%.

Taxon
MaizeZea mayse0
Outcome
good agreement between observed and simulated values for crop growth, development, and soil water and N dynamicse0
Value
NRMSE <15 %e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“DSSAT CSM CERES Maize showed good agreement between observed and simulated values for crop growth, development, and soil water and N dynamics (NRMSE <15 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1248–1403 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The high yield zone had higher nitrogen uptake of 305 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
N uptakee0
Direction
highere0
Value
305 kg N ha −1e0
Setting
high yield management zone (MZ1)e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“high yield management zone (MZ1) exhibited higher N uptake (305 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1485–1561 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The high yield zone had greater leaching losses of 16.1 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
N losses via leachinge0
Direction
greatere0
Value
16.1 kg N ha −1e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“greater N losses via leaching (16.1 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1566–1614 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The high yield zone had greater volatilization losses of 33 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
volatilizatione0
Value
33 kg N ha −1e0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

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e0

“volatilization (33 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1619–1650 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The low yield zone had elevated residual nitrate at harvest of 60 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
residual nitrate at harveste0
Direction
elevatede0
Value
60 kg N ha −1e0
Setting
low yield management zone (MZ2)e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“low yield management zone (MZ2) showed elevated residual nitrate at harvest (60 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1658–1750 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The low yield zone had higher denitrification of 6.2 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
denitrificatione0
Direction
highere0
Value
6.2 kg N ha −1e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“higher denitrification (6.2 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1755–1795 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Leaching peaked in wet years at up to 33.8 kg N ha −1.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
leachinge0
Direction
peakede0
Value
up to 33.8 kg N ha −1e0
Qualifier
wet yearse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“leaching peaked under wet years (up to 33.8 kg N ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1860–1916 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Volatilization reached a maximum of 65.5 kg ha −1 in drought years.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
volatilizatione0
Direction
maximume0
Value
65.5 kg ha −1e0
Qualifier
drought yearse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“drought years induced maximum volatilization (65.5 kg ha −1 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1926–1987 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The low yield zone needed 45% more irrigation to match high zone yields.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
irrigatione0
Direction
moree0
Value
45 %e0
Comparator
MZ1e0
Setting
MZ2e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“MZ2 required 45 % more irrigation to match MZ1 yields”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1989–2042 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A 50% management allowable depletion irrigation regime reduced nitrogen losses without yield penalty.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Treatment
Moderate MAD irrigation regimes (50 %)e0
Outcome
total N lossese0
Direction
reducede0
Qualifier
without yield penaltiese0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Moderate MAD irrigation regimes (50 %) reduced total N losses without yield penalties.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2085–2171 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultno effectsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

A 50% management allowable depletion irrigation regime caused no yield penalty.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Treatment
Moderate MAD irrigation regimes (50 %)e0
Outcome
yield penaltiese0
Direction
withoute0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Moderate MAD irrigation regimes (50 %) reduced total N losses without yield penalties.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 2085–2171 · show in text ↑
t0

“maize”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 94–99 · show in text ↑

irrigation · nutrient: content · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

104 papers: 84 positive, 20 negative or no effect

83 papers in the same direction as this paper · 18 in the opposite direction · 2 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. no effect
  3. negative

100 papers more in this group

See all 104 papers →

irrigation · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

1,016 papers: 791 positive, 225 negative or no effect

224 papers in the same direction as this paper · 791 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

1,012 papers more in this group

See all 1,016 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.