Paper · 2014 · Global Change Biology

Response of wheat growth, grain yield and water use to elevated CO2 under a Free‐Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiment and modelling in a semi‐arid environment

Garry J. O'Leary; Brendan Christy; James Nuttall; et al.

16
claims
36
verbatim quotes
184
citations
3
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by-nc

Abstract

Abstract The response of wheat crops to elevated CO 2 ( eCO 2 ) was measured and modelled with the Australian Grains Free‐Air CO 2 Enrichment experiment, located at Horsham, Australia. Treatments included CO 2 by water, N and temperature. The location represents a semi‐arid environment with a seasonal VPD of around 0.5 kP a. Over 3 years, the observed mean biomass at anthesis and grain yield ranged from 4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1 and 1600 to 3900 kg ha −1 , respectively, over various sowing times and irrigation regimes. The mean observed response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 ) was relatively consistent for biomass at stem elongation and at anthesis and LAI at anthesis and grain yield with 21%, 23%, 21% and 26%, respectively. Seasonal water use was decreased from 320 to 301 mm ( P = 0.10) by eCO 2 , increasing water use efficiency for biomass and yield, 36% and 31%, respectively. The performance of six models (APSIM‐Wheat, APSIM‐Nwheat, CAT‐Wheat, CROPSYST , OLEARY ‐ CONNOR and SALUS ) in simulating crop responses to eCO 2 was similar and within or close to the experimental error for accumulated biomass, yield and water use response, despite some variations in early growth and LAI . The primary mechanism of biomass accumulation via radiation use efficiency ( RUE ) or transpiration efficiency ( TE ) was not critical to define the overall response to eCO 2 . However, under irrigation, the effect of late sowing on response to eCO 2 to biomass accumulation at DC 65 was substantial in the observed data (~40%), but the simulated response was smaller, ranging from 17% to 28%. Simulated response from all six models under no water or nitrogen stress showed similar response to eCO 2 under irrigation, but the differences compared to the dryland treatment were small. Further experimental work on the interactive effects of eCO 2 , water and temperature is required to resolve these model discrepancies.

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The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 16

Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Observed wheat biomass at anthesis ranged from 4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1 across sowing and irrigation regimes.

Outcome
biomass at anthesise0
Value
4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1e0
Qualifier
various sowing times and irrigation regimese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“observed mean biomass at anthesis and grain yield ranged from 4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1 and 1600 to 3900 kg ha −1 , respectively, over various sowing times and irrigation regimes”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 345–521 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Observed wheat grain yield ranged from 1600 to 3900 kg ha −1 across sowing and irrigation regimes.

Outcome
grain yielde0
Value
1600 to 3900 kg ha −1e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“observed mean biomass at anthesis and grain yield ranged from 4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1 and 1600 to 3900 kg ha −1 , respectively, over various sowing times and irrigation regimes”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 345–521 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat biomass at stem elongation by 21%.

Treatment
eCO 2e0
Outcome
biomass at stem elongatione0
Direction
increaseinferrede0
Value
21%e0
Comparator
365e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 ) was relatively consistent for biomass at stem elongation and at anthesis and LAI at anthesis and grain yield with 21%, 23%, 21% and 26%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–752 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat biomass at anthesis by 23%.

Treatment
eCO 2e0
Outcome
biomass at anthesise1
Direction
increaseinferrede0
Value
23%e0
Comparator
365e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 ) was relatively consistent for biomass at stem elongation and at anthesis and LAI at anthesis and grain yield with 21%, 23%, 21% and 26%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–752 · show in text ↑
e1

“observed mean biomass at anthesis and grain yield ranged from 4200 to 10 200 kg ha −1 and 1600 to 3900 kg ha −1 , respectively, over various sowing times and irrigation regimes”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 345–521 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat LAI at anthesis by 21%.

Treatment
eCO 2e0
Outcome
LAI at anthesise0
Direction
increaseinferrede0
Value
21%e0
Comparator
365e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 ) was relatively consistent for biomass at stem elongation and at anthesis and LAI at anthesis and grain yield with 21%, 23%, 21% and 26%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–752 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat grain yield by 26%.

Treatment
eCO 2e0
Outcome
grain yielde0
Direction
increaseinferrede0
Value
26%e0
Comparator
365e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 ) was relatively consistent for biomass at stem elongation and at anthesis and LAI at anthesis and grain yield with 21%, 23%, 21% and 26%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–752 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivenot significant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 decreased seasonal wheat water use from 320 to 301 mm.

Treatment
eCO 2e0
Outcome
Seasonal water usee0
Direction
decreasede0
Value
320 to 301 mme0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Seasonal water use was decreased from 320 to 301 mm ( P = 0.10) by eCO 2”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 754–826 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat biomass water use efficiency by 36%.

Treatment
eCO 2e1
Outcome
water use efficiency for biomasse0
Direction
increasinge0
Value
36%e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“increasing water use efficiency for biomass and yield, 36% and 31%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 829–909 · show in text ↑
e1

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–602 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 increased wheat yield water use efficiency by 31%.

Treatment
eCO 2e1
Outcome
yielde0
Direction
increasinge0
Value
31%e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“increasing water use efficiency for biomass and yield, 36% and 31%, respectively”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 829–909 · show in text ↑
e1

“response to daytime eCO 2 (from 365 to 550 μmol mol −1 CO 2 )”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 541–602 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Six models simulated wheat accumulated biomass, yield, and water use responses to elevated CO2 within or near experimental error.

Outcome
accumulated biomass, yield and water use responsee0
Comparator
experimental errore0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The performance of six models (APSIM‐Wheat, APSIM‐Nwheat, CAT‐Wheat, CROPSYST , OLEARY ‐ CONNOR and SALUS ) in simulating crop responses to eCO 2 was similar and within or close to the experimental error for accumulated biomass, yield and water use response”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 911–1168 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The six wheat models varied in early growth and LAI simulations.

Outcome
early growth and LAIe0

Not reportedComparatorValue

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“despite some variations in early growth and LAI”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1170–1217 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Mechanismauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The choice of radiation use efficiency or transpiration efficiency as biomass mechanism was not critical for defining wheat elevated-CO2 response.

Outcome
overall response to eCO 2e0
Qualifier
radiation use efficiency ( RUE ) or transpiration efficiency ( TE )e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The primary mechanism of biomass accumulation via radiation use efficiency ( RUE ) or transpiration efficiency ( TE ) was not critical to define the overall response to eCO 2”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1220–1394 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Under irrigation, late sowing produced an observed wheat biomass response to elevated CO2 of about 40% at DC 65.

Treatment
late sowinge0
Outcome
biomass accumulation at DC 65e0
Direction
substantiale0
Value
~40%e0
Qualifier
under irrigatione0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“under irrigation, the effect of late sowing on response to eCO 2 to biomass accumulation at DC 65 was substantial in the observed data (~40%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1406–1547 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Models predicted a smaller late-sowing wheat biomass response to elevated CO2 of 17% to 28%.

Outcome
simulated responsee0
Direction
smallere0
Value
17% to 28%e0
Comparator
observed datae1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the simulated response was smaller, ranging from 17% to 28%”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1553–1612 · show in text ↑
e1

“the observed data (~40%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1523–1547 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

All six wheat models gave similar elevated-CO2 response without water or nitrogen stress under irrigation, with small differences from dryland treatment.

Outcome
response to eCO 2e0
Comparator
dryland treatmente0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Simulated response from all six models under no water or nitrogen stress showed similar response to eCO 2 under irrigation, but the differences compared to the dryland treatment were small”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1614–1802 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors call for experiments on interactive elevated-CO2, water, and temperature effects to resolve model discrepancies.

Outcome
Further experimental work on the interactive effects of eCO 2 , water and temperaturee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Further experimental work on the interactive effects of eCO 2 , water and temperature is required to resolve these model discrepancies”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1804–1938 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 12–17 · show in text ↑

co2 · physiology: water · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Results differ

42 papers: 38 positive, 4 negative or no effect

37 papers in the same direction as this paper · 4 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. positive
  3. no effect

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sowing time · growth · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

113 papers: 65 positive, 48 negative or no effect

64 papers in the same direction as this paper · 47 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
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co2 · growth · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

145 papers: 124 positive, 21 negative or no effect

123 papers in the same direction as this paper · 20 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. no effect
  2. negative
  3. positive

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co2 · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

203 papers: 174 positive, 29 negative or no effect

173 papers in the same direction as this paper · 29 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. positive
  3. positive

199 papers more in this group

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.