Paper · 2014 · Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science

Spring Freeze Effect on Wheat Yield is Modulated by Winter Temperature Fluctuations: Evidence from Meta‐Analysis and Simulating Experiment

X. Li; J. Cai; F. Liu; et al.

8
claims
10
verbatim quotes
42
citations
2
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

Abstract Increasing climatic variability is projected to affect large‐scale atmospheric circulation, triggers and exacerbates more extreme weather events, including winter warming and more frequent extreme low temperatures in spring. Historical data from 1961–2000 indicate these temperature fluctuations may seriously affect grain yield of winter wheat crops. In this study, a field air temperature control system ( FATC ) was used to simulate the winter warming, spring cold and freezing events in the field experiment in 2010–2011 to explore their impacts on growth and yield of winter wheat. Eight elite wheat varieties released during 1961–2000 were included and four temperature scenarios were applied, including late spring freeze alone, winter warming + late spring freeze, early spring cold + late spring freeze and the normal temperature condition as control. Winter warming combined with late spring freeze significantly decreased tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic rate and leaf growth in wheat plants, and reduced the spike number and kernel number per spike, and the final grain yield. In contrast, the wheat plants experienced early spring cold had higher tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic capacity and sugar accumulation and improved tolerance to the late spring freeze, resulting in less yield loss, as compared with those without experiencing early spring cold. Both the meta‐analyses and the field experimental data demonstrated that the effects of later spring freeze stress on wheat yield were exacerbated by winter warming but were extenuated by early spring cold events. Therefore, it is important to consider the characteristics of temperature fluctuations during winter to spring for precise evaluation of climate change effects on wheat production.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record, shown for indexing and research. Copyright remains with the authors or the publisher. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 8

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Winter warming with late spring freeze significantly decreased tiller survival, leaf photosynthetic rate, and leaf growth in wheat.

Treatment
Winter warming combined with late spring freezee0
Outcome
tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic rate and leaf growthe0
Direction
decreasede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Winter warming combined with late spring freeze significantly decreased tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic rate and leaf growth in wheat plants”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 870–1020 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Winter warming with late spring freeze reduced spike number, kernels per spike, and final grain yield.

Treatment
Winter warming combined with late spring freezee0
Outcome
spike number and kernel number per spike, and the final grain yielde0
Direction
reducede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Winter warming combined with late spring freeze significantly decreased tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic rate and leaf growth in wheat plants, and reduced the spike number and kernel number per spike, and the final grain yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 870–1105 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Early spring cold raised tiller survival, leaf photosynthetic capacity, and sugar accumulation relative to no early spring cold.

Treatment
early spring colde0
Outcome
tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic capacity and sugar accumulatione0
Direction
highere0
Comparator
without experiencing early spring colde1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the wheat plants experienced early spring cold had higher tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic capacity and sugar accumulation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1120–1251 · show in text ↑
e1

“as compared with those without experiencing early spring cold”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1332–1393 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Early spring cold improved tolerance to late spring freeze.

Treatment
early spring colde0
Outcome
tolerance to the late spring freezee0
Direction
improvede0
Comparator
without experiencing early spring colde1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the wheat plants experienced early spring cold had higher tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic capacity and sugar accumulation and improved tolerance to the late spring freeze”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1120–1300 · show in text ↑
e1

“as compared with those without experiencing early spring cold”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1332–1393 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Early spring cold reduced yield loss from late spring freeze relative to no early spring cold.

Treatment
early spring colde0
Outcome
yield losse0
Direction
lesse0
Comparator
without experiencing early spring colde0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the wheat plants experienced early spring cold had higher tiller survival rate, leaf photosynthetic capacity and sugar accumulation and improved tolerance to the late spring freeze, resulting in less yield loss, as compared with those without experiencing early spring cold”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1120–1393 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Meta-analysis and field data indicated winter warming exacerbated late spring freeze effects on wheat yield.

Treatment
winter warminge0
Outcome
effects of later spring freeze stress on wheat yielde0
Direction
exacerbatede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the effects of later spring freeze stress on wheat yield were exacerbated by winter warming”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1468–1559 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Meta-analysis and field data indicated early spring cold attenuated late spring freeze effects on wheat yield.

Treatment
early spring cold eventse0
Outcome
effects of later spring freeze stress on wheat yielde0
Direction
extenuatede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the effects of later spring freeze stress on wheat yield were exacerbated by winter warming but were extenuated by early spring cold events”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1468–1607 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors recommend considering winter-to-spring temperature fluctuations when evaluating climate change effects on wheat production.

Outcome
consider the characteristics of temperature fluctuations during winter to springe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“consider the characteristics of temperature fluctuations during winter to spring for precise evaluation of climate change effects on wheat production”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1639–1788 · show in text ↑

cold · physiology: photosynthesis · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Results differ

27 papers: 11 positive, 16 negative or no effect

10 papers in the same direction as this paper · 16 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. negative
  3. negative

23 papers more in this group

See all 27 papers →

cold · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Results differ

67 papers: 21 positive, 46 negative or no effect

20 papers in the same direction as this paper · 46 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. positive
  3. negative

63 papers more in this group

See all 67 papers →

cold · disease · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

27 papers: 17 positive, 10 negative or no effect

16 papers in the same direction as this paper · 10 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
  2. negative
  3. negative

23 papers more in this group

See all 27 papers →

heat · physiology: photosynthesis · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

90 papers: 17 positive, 73 negative or no effect

72 papers in the same direction as this paper · 17 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. positive
  3. positive

86 papers more in this group

See all 90 papers →

heat · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

309 papers: 54 positive, 255 negative or no effect

254 papers in the same direction as this paper · 54 in the opposite direction

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. positive

305 papers more in this group

See all 309 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.