Paper · 2010 · International Journal of Agricultural Research

The Economic Impacts of Climate Change on the Rice Production in Malaysia

N. Vaghefi; M. Nasir Shamsudin; A. Makmom; et al.

4
claims
4
verbatim quotes
101
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

This study attempts to estimate the potential impacts of climate change on the rice production in Malaysia. The crop model ORYZA2000 was used to simulate rice yield of MR 219 variety in eight granary areas of Malaysia from 1999-2007. The model predicted a reduction in rice yield of 0.36 t ha -1 under the scenario of an increase in temperature by 2C and at the current CO 2 level of 383 ppm. With the reduction in rice yield, the economic loss to the Malaysian rice industry was estimated at RM162.531 million per year. Under the scenario of increase of CO 2 concentration from 383 to 574 ppm and with 2C rise in temperature, it can be predicted that there will also be a decline in rice yield by 0.69 t ha -1 and consequently the economic loss will be at RM299.145 million per year for the rice industry. With the above potential impacts, some adaptation and mitigation strategies to overcome the adverse effects of climate change on rice production were recommended.

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Claims 4

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The crop model projected a rice yield reduction of 0.36 t/ha under a 2 C temperature rise at 383 ppm CO2.

Treatment
an increase in temperature by 2Ce1
Outcome
rice yielde1
Direction
reductione1
Value
0.36 t ha -1e1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“The model predicted a reduction in rice yield of 0.36 t ha -1 under the scenario of an increase in temperature by 2C and at the current CO 2 level of 383 ppm”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 234–391 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The crop model projected a rice yield decline of 0.69 t/ha under elevated CO2 (383 to 574 ppm) with a 2 C temperature rise.

Treatment
increase of CO 2 concentration from 383 to 574 ppm and with 2C rise in temperaturee2
Outcome
rice yielde2
Direction
declinee2
Value
0.69 t ha -1e2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e2

“Under the scenario of increase of CO 2 concentration from 383 to 574 ppm and with 2C rise in temperature, it can be predicted that there will also be a decline in rice yield by 0.69 t ha -1”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 521–710 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The projected rice yield reduction was estimated to cause an economic loss of RM162.531 million per year for the Malaysian rice industry.

Treatment
the reduction in rice yielde3
Outcome
economic loss to the Malaysian rice industrye3
Direction
increaseinferrede3
Value
RM162.531 million per yeare3

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e3

“With the reduction in rice yield, the economic loss to the Malaysian rice industry was estimated at RM162.531 million per year”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 393–519 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Some adaptation and mitigation strategies were recommended to overcome the adverse effects of climate change on rice production.

Outcome
adaptation and mitigation strategiese4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e4

“some adaptation and mitigation strategies to overcome the adverse effects of climate change on rice production were recommended”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 841–968 · show in text ↑

co2 · yield · Oryza sativa (rice)Positive and negative results

159 papers: 131 positive, 28 negative or no effect

27 papers in the same direction as this paper · 131 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.