Paper · 2025 · Resources Environment and Sustainability

Spatial divergence of nitrogen fate in China's wheat systems: a meta-analysis and machine-learning roadmap for region-specific management

Yan'ge Yan; Shuiqin Zhang; Yingqiang Zhang; et al.

20
claims
39
verbatim quotes
2
citations
2
research areas
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Open access · cc-by-nc-nd

Abstract

Optimizing crop productivity while mitigating pollution requires a system-wide understanding of nitrogen (N) fertilizer fate and its loss pathways. However, regional variability in N fate and its linkage to yield response in China’s wheat systems remains poorly quantified. We collected 4077 observations to analyze the effects of N fertilizer management, climate, and soil properties on wheat yield, N fate, and reactive nitrogen (Nr) losses using meta-analysis and machine learning. At the national scale, wheat yield increased by 65.40% with N fertilization, with applied N partitioned into 41.56% uptake, 29.66% residual, and 38.81% losses. The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%). At the regional scale, N uptake exhibited an increasing trend from north to south, whereas N residual and N loss gradually decreased. NH 3 volatilization accounted for 91.76% of total N loss in northern China (NC). In central China (CC), NH 3 constituted 53.45% of the losses, with N leaching accounting for 41.38%. By contrast, southern China (SC) showed a more even distribution of losses across pathways. N application rate was the key determinant of N fate, whereas pH, mean annual precipitation, mean annual temperature, and bulk density had the greatest influence on Nr losses. Nationally, N uptake was the dominant driver of yield response, accounting for 54.06% of the variation. Regionally, uptake remained the key factor in CC (37.83%), whereas NC (27.33% uptake; 16.09% loss) and SC (15.20% uptake; 12.37% loss) showed substantial sensitivity to N loss. N residual had minimal impact in most regions but was significant in CC (11.66%). Enhancing nitrogen uptake is the top priority in increasing wheat yield across different regions of China, while the role of fertilizer N loss and residual regionally varied. Accordingly, N management should prioritize loss reduction in NC and SC, and residual management in CC. • Applied N partitions as 41.56% plant uptake, 29.66% soil residual, and 38.81% environmental loss in China’s wheat systems. • N uptake increases from north to south, while soil residual and environmental loss progressively decrease along this gradient. • Northern China loss dominates as NH 3 , Central features NH 3 and N leaching, and Southern shows balanced loss. • N rate governs overall fate, while regional climate and soil properties control specific loss pathways. • Regional nitrogen efficiency disparities directly affect yield stability, forming the basis for tailored management.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by-nc-nd. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 20

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Nitrogen fertilization increased wheat yield by 65.40%.

Treatment
N fertilizatione0
Outcome
wheat yielde0
Direction
increasede0
Value
65.40%e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“wheat yield increased by 65.40% with N fertilization”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 508–560 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Applied nitrogen partitioned into 41.56% uptake.

Outcome
uptakee0
Value
41.56%e0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“applied N partitioned into 41.56% uptake, 29.66% residual, and 38.81% losses”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 567–643 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Applied nitrogen partitioned into 29.66% residual.

Outcome
residuale0
Value
29.66%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“applied N partitioned into 41.56% uptake, 29.66% residual, and 38.81% losses”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 567–643 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Applied nitrogen partitioned into 38.81% losses.

Outcome
lossese0
Value
38.81%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“applied N partitioned into 41.56% uptake, 29.66% residual, and 38.81% losses”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 567–643 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Reactive nitrogen losses included 9.35% ammonia.

Outcome
NH 3e0
Value
9.35%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 645–746 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Reactive nitrogen losses included 0.73% nitrous oxide.

Outcome
N 2 Oe0
Value
0.73%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 645–746 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Reactive nitrogen losses included 0.38% nitric oxide.

Outcome
NOe0
Value
0.38%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 645–746 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Reactive nitrogen losses included 7.38% leaching.

Outcome
leachinge0
Value
7.38%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 645–746 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Reactive nitrogen losses included 4.68% runoff.

Outcome
runoffe0
Value
4.68%e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Nr losses comprised NH 3 (9.35%), N 2 O (0.73%), NO (0.38%), leaching (7.38%), and runoff (4.68%)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 645–746 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Nitrogen uptake increased from north to south.

Outcome
N uptakee0
Direction
increasing trende0
Setting
north to southe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N uptake exhibited an increasing trend from north to south”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 771–829 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Residual nitrogen decreased from north to south.

Outcome
N residuale0
Direction
decreasede0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N residual and N loss gradually decreased”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 839–880 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Nitrogen loss decreased from north to south.

Outcome
N losse0
Direction
decreasede0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N residual and N loss gradually decreased”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 839–880 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Ammonia volatilization accounted for 91.76% of total nitrogen loss in northern China.

Outcome
NH 3 volatilizatione0
Value
91.76%e0
Setting
northern Chinae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“NH 3 volatilization accounted for 91.76% of total N loss in northern China (NC)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 882–961 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In central China, ammonia made up 53.45% of losses.

Outcome
NH 3e0
Value
53.45%e0
Setting
central Chinae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“In central China (CC), NH 3 constituted 53.45% of the losses, with N leaching accounting for 41.38%”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 963–1062 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

In central China, nitrogen leaching made up 41.38% of losses.

Outcome
N leachinge0
Value
41.38%e0
Setting
central Chinae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“In central China (CC), NH 3 constituted 53.45% of the losses, with N leaching accounting for 41.38%”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 963–1062 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Southern China had a more even distribution of nitrogen loss pathways.

Outcome
more even distribution of lossese0
Setting
southern Chinae0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“southern China (SC) showed a more even distribution of losses across pathways”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1077–1154 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Nitrogen application rate was the principal determinant of nitrogen fate.

Treatment
N application ratee0
Outcome
N fatee0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N application rate was the key determinant of N fate”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1156–1208 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Nitrogen uptake explained 54.06% of national yield response variation.

Treatment
N uptakee0
Outcome
yield responsee0
Value
54.06%e0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N uptake was the dominant driver of yield response, accounting for 54.06% of the variation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1344–1434 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultmixedmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Regional nitrogen uptake and loss contributions to yield response varied.

Treatment
uptakee0
Outcome
sensitivity to N losse0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“uptake remained the key factor in CC (37.83%), whereas NC (27.33% uptake; 16.09% loss) and SC (15.20% uptake; 12.37% loss) showed substantial sensitivity to N loss”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1448–1611 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivebasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

The authors recommend reducing nitrogen loss in northern and southern China and managing residual nitrogen in central China.

Outcome
loss reduction in NC and SC, and residual management in CCe0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“N management should prioritize loss reduction in NC and SC, and residual management in CC”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1883–1972 · show in text ↑
t0

“wheat systems”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 47–60 · show in text ↑

fertilization · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

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3,114 papers in the same direction as this paper · 284 in the opposite direction · 39 reporting no difference from an alternative

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