Paper · 1991 · Agronomy Journal

Water Deficit Effects on Maize Yields Modeled under Current and “Greenhouse” Climates

R. C. Muchow; T. R. Sinclair

4
claims
7
verbatim quotes
154
citations
3
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

Abstract The availability of water imposes one of the major limits on rainfed maize ( Zea mays L.) productivity. This analysis was undertaken in an attempt to quantify the effects of limited water on maize growth and yield by extending a simple, mechanistic model in which temperature regulates crop development and intercepted solar radiation is used to calculate crop biomass accumulation. A soil water budget was incorporated into the model by accounting for inputs from rainfall and irrigation, and water use by soil evaporation and crop transpiration. The response functions of leaf area development and crop gas exchange to the soil water budget were developed from experimental studies. The model was used to interpret a range of field experiments using observed daily values of temperature, solar radiation, and rainfall or irrigation, where water deficits of varying durations developed at different stages of growth. The relative simplicity of the model and its robustness in simulating maize yields under a range of water‐availability conditions allows the model to be readily used for studies of crop performance under alternate conditions. One such study, presented here, was a yield assessment for rainfed maize under possible “greenhouse” climates where temperature and atmospheric CO 2 concentration were increased. An increase in temperature combined with decreased rainfall lowered grain yield, although the increase in crop water use efficiency associated with elevated CO 2 concentration, ameliorated the response to the greenhouse climate. Grain yields for the greenhouse climates as compared to current conditions increased, or decreased only slightly, except when the greenhouse climate was assumed to result in severely decreased rainfall.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record, shown for indexing and research. Copyright remains with the authors or the publisher. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 4

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The model was robust in simulating maize yields across water availability conditions.

Taxon
maizeZea mayse0
Outcome
robustness in simulating maize yieldse0
Comparator
a range of water‐availability conditionse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“its robustness in simulating maize yields under a range of water‐availability conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 968–1056 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativeprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Increased temperature and decreased rainfall lowered grain yield.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Treatment
An increase in temperature combined with decreased rainfalle0
Outcome
grain yielde0
Direction
lowerede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“An increase in temperature combined with decreased rainfall lowered grain yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1332–1411 · show in text ↑
t0

“Water Deficit Effects on Maize Yields Modeled under Current and “Greenhouse” Climates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–85 · show in text ↑
Mechanismobservedoriginal resultpositiveprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 ameliorated the yield response through increased crop water use efficiency.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Compound
CO 2e0
Outcome
response to the greenhouse climatee0
Qualifier
increase in crop water use efficiencye0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the increase in crop water use efficiency associated with elevated CO 2 concentration, ameliorated the response to the greenhouse climate”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1422–1559 · show in text ↑
t0

“Water Deficit Effects on Maize Yields Modeled under Current and “Greenhouse” Climates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–85 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultmixedprojected

Claim · model-written summary

Under greenhouse climates grain yields increased or decreased only slightly except with severely decreased rainfall.

Taxon
maizeZea mayst0
Outcome
Grain yieldse0
Direction
increased, or decreased only slightlye0
Qualifier
severely decreased rainfalle0
Comparator
current conditionse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Grain yields for the greenhouse climates as compared to current conditions increased, or decreased only slightly, except when the greenhouse climate was assumed to result in severely decreased rainfall”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1561–1762 · show in text ↑
t0

“Water Deficit Effects on Maize Yields Modeled under Current and “Greenhouse” Climates”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 0–85 · show in text ↑

rainfall · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

70 papers: 34 positive, 36 negative or no effect

35 papers in the same direction as this paper · 34 in the opposite direction

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

66 papers more in this group

See all 70 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.