Paper · 2019 · Scholarworks (University of Massachusetts Amherst)

Understanding the Links Between Human Healthand Climate Change: Agricultural Productivity andAllergenic Pollen Production of TimothyGrass(Phleum pratense L.) Under Future PredictedLevels of Carbon Dioxide and Ozone

Jennifer M. Albertine

11
claims
22
verbatim quotes
2
citations
3
research areas
✓
Open access

Abstract

The prevalence of allergic disease is expected to increase with climate change. Grasses, which have highly allergenic pollen, are widely distributed across the globe. Changes in production and allergen content of grass pollen have not been specifically investigated. We tested the effects of elevated carbon dioxide and ozone on growth, pollen and allergen production of Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.). Timothy is also used as an agricultural forage crop so changes in plant productivity can also affect humans indirectly. Plants were fumigated in eight chambers at two concentrations of ozone (O3; 30 and 80 ppb) and carbon dioxide (CO2; 400 and 800 ppm) to simulate present and future projected levels. Destructive harvests were completed every three weeks to measure productivity. Pollen was collected in polyethylene bags placed around flowers and assessed for pollen number and concentration of the allergenic protein, Phl p 5. We found that elevated CO2 significantly increased the amount of pollen produced per flower regardless of O3 level. In addition, the amount of Phl p 5 allergen per flower was significantly increased in plants grown at elevated CO2 / low O3 conditions. We also found that plants grown in both elevated CO2 and elevated O3 increased the amount of pollen produced per weight of flower. The Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen grain was significantly reduced by elevated O3, as was flower length and weight. However, this was partially ameliorated by elevated CO2. Productivity was affected negatively by elevated O3 throughout the life cycle. CO2 increased shoot productivity during the intermediate stages of life and also ameliorated the negative impacts of elevated O3. We conclude that increasing levels of CO2 will cause a 2.5 times increase in Timothy grass pollen production thus increasing human airborne pollen exposure. Increases in pollen were likely a result of increased shoot biomass in the stages leading up to reproduction. If Timothy grass is a good model for other grasses, this portends for increased allergy suffering worldwide and an important health impact of global climate change.

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Claims 11

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 significantly increased pollen produced per flower regardless of O3 level.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
elevated CO2e0
Outcome
amount of pollen produced per flowere0
Direction
increasede0
Qualifier
regardless of O3 levele0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“elevated CO2 significantly increased the amount of pollen produced per flower regardless of O3 level”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 951–1051 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 with low O3 significantly increased Phl p 5 allergen per flower.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
elevated CO2 / low O3 conditionse0
Gene
Phl p 5e0
Outcome
amount of Phl p 5 allergen per flowere0
Direction
increasede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the amount of Phl p 5 allergen per flower was significantly increased in plants grown at elevated CO2 / low O3 conditions”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1066–1187 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Combined elevated CO2 and O3 increased pollen produced per flower weight.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
both elevated CO2 and elevated O3e0
Outcome
amount of pollen produced per weight of flowere0
Direction
increasede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“plants grown in both elevated CO2 and elevated O3 increased the amount of pollen produced per weight of flower”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1208–1318 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated O3 significantly reduced Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen grain.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
elevated O3e0
Gene
Phl p 5e0
Outcome
Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen graine0
Direction
reducede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen grain was significantly reduced by elevated O3”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1320–1406 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated O3 significantly reduced flower length and weight.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
elevated O3e0
Outcome
flower length and weighte0
Direction
reducede0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen grain was significantly reduced by elevated O3, as was flower length and weight”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1320–1439 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated CO2 partially ameliorated the O3 reductions in allergen content and flower size.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee2
Treatment
elevated CO2e0
Outcome
flower length and weighte1
Direction
amelioratede0
Comparator
elevated O3e1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“However, this was partially ameliorated by elevated CO2”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1441–1496 · show in text ↑
e1

“The Phl p 5 allergen content per pollen grain was significantly reduced by elevated O3, as was flower length and weight”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1320–1439 · show in text ↑
e2

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Elevated O3 negatively affected productivity throughout the life cycle.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
elevated O3e0
Outcome
Productivitye0
Direction
negativelye0
Qualifier
throughout the life cyclee0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Productivity was affected negatively by elevated O3 throughout the life cycle”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1498–1575 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

CO2 increased shoot productivity at intermediate life stages.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
CO2e0
Outcome
shoot productivitye0
Direction
increasede0
Qualifier
intermediate stages of lifee0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“CO2 increased shoot productivity during the intermediate stages of life”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1577–1648 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

CO2 ameliorated the negative productivity impacts of elevated O3.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Treatment
CO2e0
Outcome
negative impacts of elevated O3e0
Direction
amelioratede0
Comparator
elevated O3e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“CO2 increased shoot productivity during the intermediate stages of life and also ameliorated the negative impacts of elevated O3”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1577–1705 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑
Observationauthor interpretationoriginal resultprojected

Claim · model-written summary

The authors projected that increasing CO2 would increase Timothy grass pollen production 2.5 times.

Taxon
Timothy grassPhleum pratensee0
Outcome
pollen productione0
Direction
increasee0
Value
2.5 timese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“increasing levels of CO2 will cause a 2.5 times increase in Timothy grass pollen production”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1724–1815 · show in text ↑
Mechanismauthor interpretationoriginal resultmeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The authors attributed increased pollen to higher shoot biomass before reproduction.

Taxon
Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)Phleum pratensee1
Outcome
Increases in pollene0
Qualifier
increased shoot biomass in the stages leading up to reproductione0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Phleum pratense
Phleum pratense · TaxonAnRo0002 · CC0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Increases in pollen were likely a result of increased shoot biomass in the stages leading up to reproduction”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1864–1972 · show in text ↑
e1

“Timothy grass (Phleum pratense L.)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 371–405 · show in text ↑

co2 · yield · Phleum pratense (timothy)Positive and negative results

2 papers: 1 positive, 1 negative or no effect

1 in the opposite direction

  1. no effect
See all 2 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.