Abstract
Abstract Reducing the number of tillers per plant using a t iller in hibition ( tin ) gene has been considered as an important trait for wheat production in dryland environments. We used a spatial analysis approach with a daily time‐step coupled radiation and transpiration efficiency model to simulate the impact of the reduced‐tillering trait on wheat yield under different climate change scenarios across Australia's arable land. Our results show a small but consistent yield advantage of the reduced‐tillering trait in the most water‐limited environments both under current and likely future conditions. Our climate scenarios show that whilst elevated [CO 2 ] (e[CO 2 ]) alone might limit the area where the reduced‐tillering trait is advantageous, the most likely climate scenario of e[CO 2 ] combined with increased temperature and reduced rainfall consistently increased the area where restricted tillering has an advantage. Whilst long‐term average yield advantages were small (ranged from 31 to 51 kg ha −1 year −1 ), across large dryland areas the value is large (potential cost‐benefits ranged from Australian dollar 23 to 60 MIL/year). It seems therefore worthwhile to further explore this reduced‐tillering trait in relation to a range of different environments and climates, because its benefits are likely to grow in future dry environments where wheat is grown around the world.
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Claims 6
Claim · model-written summary
Reduced tillering gave a small consistent wheat yield advantage in the most water-limited environments under current and likely future conditions.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- reduced‐tillering traite0
- Outcome
- yield advantagee0
- Direction
- advantagee0
- Qualifier
- most water‐limited environmentse0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“Our results show a small but consistent yield advantage of the reduced‐tillering trait in the most water‐limited environments both under current and likely future conditions.”
Claim · model-written summary
Elevated CO2 alone might limit the area with a reduced tillering advantage.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- elevated [CO 2 ]e0
- Outcome
- area where the reduced‐tillering trait is advantageouse0
- Direction
- limite0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“elevated [CO 2 ] (e[CO 2 ]) alone might limit the area where the reduced‐tillering trait is advantageous”
Claim · model-written summary
Elevated CO2 with increased temperature and reduced rainfall increased the area with restricted tillering advantage.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- e[CO 2 ] combined with increased temperature and reduced rainfalle0
- Outcome
- area where restricted tillering has an advantagee0
- Direction
- increasede0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“e[CO 2 ] combined with increased temperature and reduced rainfall consistently increased the area where restricted tillering has an advantage.”
Claim · model-written summary
Long-term average wheat yield advantages ranged from 31 to 51 kg ha −1 year −1.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Outcome
- long‐term average yield advantagese0
- Direction
- advantagese0
- Value
- 31 to 51 kg ha −1 year −1e0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“long‐term average yield advantages were small (ranged from 31 to 51 kg ha −1 year −1 )”
Claim · model-written summary
Potential cost benefits across dryland areas ranged from Australian dollar 23 to 60 MIL/year.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Outcome
- potential cost‐benefitse0
- Value
- Australian dollar 23 to 60 MIL/yeare0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“potential cost‐benefits ranged from Australian dollar 23 to 60 MIL/year”
Claim · model-written summary
The authors recommend further exploration of reduced tillering across environments and climates.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Outcome
- further explore this reduced‐tillering traite0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
t0“wheat”
e0“It seems therefore worthwhile to further explore this reduced‐tillering trait in relation to a range of different environments and climates”
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